Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start v Viking FK

Kickoff: 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–3 Viking FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

53 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 17.34%5.77fair odd
EV +0.251%
Edge +0.043%
Kelly +0.052%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.71%17.40%17.27%18.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.275.305.7820.83%18.96%18.87%17.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Viking FK (Visit)

Prediction 62.16%1.61fair odd
EV -4.28%
Edge -2.78%
Kelly -7.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.89%62.08%62.19%63.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.501.501.5471.43%66.89%66.67%64.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.50%4.88fair odd
EV +0.445%
Edge +0.091%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.70%20.52%20.54%22.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.424.404.9025.32%22.64%22.73%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 17.34%; Viking FK (Visit): 62.16%; Draw: 20.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.88. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.445%.

Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV -2.00%E -0.355%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.02%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV +0.445%E +0.091%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-01 15:55
Pinnacle🎯5.73I 17.45%NM 16.87%EV -0.616%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.19%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -0.580%E -0.119%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 15:50
1xBet🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -7.73%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:25
BetUS🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:30
BetAnything🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:24
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.21%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:44
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.21%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:44
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 15:55
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.63%E -5.87%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 15:50
GTbets🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.10%EV -9.64%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.68%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:29
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 01:50
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.54%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:50
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:30
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:35
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -8.63%E -5.87%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -10.83%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 15:34
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 01:46
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 15:30
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -15.88%E -3.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 15:40
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.25%E -6.34%K -20.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 13:05
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.98%E -9.27%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-01 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -15.95%E -3.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -15.95%E -3.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.09%EV -11.12%E -7.77%K -25.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -19.03%E -4.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-27 13:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-08-01 15:55

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