Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start v Viking FK

Inicio: 2026-08-01 16:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 0–3 Viking FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Start (Local)

Predicción 17.34%5.77momio equitativo
EV +0.251%
Ventaja +0.043%
Kelly +0.052%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.78

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.71%17.40%17.27%18.72%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.805.275.305.7820.83%18.96%18.87%17.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Viking FK (Visitante)

Predicción 62.16%1.61momio equitativo
EV -4.28%
Ventaja -2.78%
Kelly -7.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.89%62.08%62.19%63.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.401.501.501.5471.43%66.89%66.67%64.94%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 20.50%4.88momio equitativo
EV +0.445%
Ventaja +0.091%
Kelly +0.114%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.70%20.52%20.54%22.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.954.424.404.9025.32%22.64%22.73%20.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IK Start (Local): 17.34%; Viking FK (Visitante): 62.16%; Empate: 20.50%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.88. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.445%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
Coolbet🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 17.18%EV -2.00%E -0.355%K -0.431%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 63.02%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.81%EV +0.445%E +0.091%K +0.114%G +0.001%3.0%2026-08-01 15:55
Pinnacle🎯5.73I 17.45%NM 16.87%EV -0.616%E -0.108%K -0.130%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.19%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.93%EV -0.580%E -0.119%K -0.151%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-01 15:50
1xBet🎯5.32I 18.80%NM 17.85%EV -7.73%E -1.45%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.46%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.82I 20.75%NM 19.70%EV -1.19%E -0.248%K -0.313%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:44
BetOnline.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:25
LowVig.ag🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:25
BetUS🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:30
BetAnything🎯5.78I 17.30%NM 16.71%EV +0.251%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.73%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.55%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-01 15:24
FanDuel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.13%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.88%EV -3.65%E -0.778%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 15:55
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 15:45
NordicBet🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.21%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:44
Betsson🎯5.35I 18.69%NM 17.60%EV -7.21%E -1.35%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.94%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:44
Bovada🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.01%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.62%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-01 15:45
Marathon Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.94%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.78%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-01 15:55
BetMGM🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Tipico (DE)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.64%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.41%EV -8.63%E -5.87%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -5.70%E -1.24%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-01 15:50
GTbets🎯5.21I 19.19%NM 18.10%EV -9.64%E -1.85%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.23%EV -4.28%E -2.78%K -7.92%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.68%EV -6.52%E -1.43%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 07:55
Unibet (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.12%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.95%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.93%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-01 15:29
Fanatics🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.86%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.30%EV -4.90%E -3.20%K -9.25%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.84%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-30 10:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.98%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.26%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.75%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 01:50
LeoVegas🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.07%EV -11.54%E -2.26%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.45%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-01 15:50
SportsBet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-01 15:53
Winamax (DE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.54%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.24%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-01 15:30
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -7.75%E -1.72%K -2.22%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:35
Everygame🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -8.94%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-01 15:50
Winamax (FR)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.67%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 60.96%EV -8.63%E -5.87%K -18.36%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.37%EV -9.80%E -2.23%K -2.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-01 15:30
Unibet (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.30%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.03%EV -9.87%E -6.81%K -21.94%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 20.68%EV -10.83%E -2.49%K -3.23%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-01 15:34
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.84%EV -4.61%E -0.837%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-31 01:46
Coral🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.69%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.60%EV -8.01%E -5.41%K -16.68%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Sky Bet🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.49%E -7.29%K -23.85%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -11.24%E -2.60%K -3.38%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-01 15:55
Codere (IT)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.55%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 61.24%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-01 15:30
PlayUp🎯4.85I 20.62%NM 18.65%EV -15.88%E -3.27%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 60.31%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.04%EV -11.85%E -2.76%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-01 15:55
Unibet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.13%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.85%EV -5.52%E -3.63%K -10.62%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Casumo🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Grosvenor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
BetRivers🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
betPARX🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
ATG (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.06%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 61.01%EV -6.14%E -4.07%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-27 13:45
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.99%EV -6.34%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.17%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.84%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -16.75%E -3.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 59.89%EV -6.77%E -4.51%K -13.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-01 15:40
Bet Right🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 60.99%EV -9.25%E -6.34%K -20.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-01 13:05
BoyleSports🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.36%EV -13.28%E -2.66%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 61.98%EV -12.98%E -9.27%K -32.45%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.66%EV -13.90%E -3.31%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.2%2026-08-01 15:44
LiveScore Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -15.95%E -3.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 13:45
Virgin Bet🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.09%EV -8.07%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 60.81%EV -7.39%E -4.96%K -15.08%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.10%EV -15.95%E -3.89%K -5.15%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-27 13:45
PMU (FR)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 16.80%EV -9.81%E -1.89%K -2.34%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 61.09%EV -11.12%E -7.77%K -25.85%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.11%EV -19.03%E -4.82%K -6.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-27 13:45
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook5.90I 16.95%NM 16.84%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.68%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.48%0.7%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.90I 16.95%NM 16.77%1.56I 64.10%NM 63.44%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-01 15:55
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 16.70%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.58%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-08-01 15:55