Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start v SK Brann

Kickoff: 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Final: IK Start 2–0 SK Brann

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Start (Local)

Prediction 24.75%4.04fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.364%
Kelly +0.482%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.95%24.85%24.75%27.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.673.654.1030.77%27.28%27.40%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

SK Brann (Visit)

Prediction 51.87%1.93fair odd
EV -0.413%
Edge -0.215%
Kelly -0.449%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.65%51.81%51.98%53.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.791.801.9259.88%55.72%55.56%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.38%4.28fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.442%
Kelly +0.573%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 4.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.07%23.33%23.28%24.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.893.904.3627.78%25.72%25.64%22.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 24.75%; SK Brann (Visit): 51.87%; Draw: 23.38%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.28. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.94%EV -3.95%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.87%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV +1.93%E +0.442%K +0.573%G +0.011%3.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.20%EV -3.53%E -1.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.522%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.0%2026-09-13 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV +0.522%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%10.4%2026-09-13 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -19.55%E -6.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.75%E -5.60%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.46%E -0.887%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:31
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:41
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:36
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:50
GTbets🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -7.67%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04%EV -0.413%E -0.215%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:25
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -1.97%E -0.498%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:30
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 14:30
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:40
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.49%E +0.364%K +0.482%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:30
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.49%E +0.364%K +0.482%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:01
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:25
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.59%EV -12.34%E -7.30%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 14:35
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -15.83%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -13.38%E -8.01%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:31
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:25
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 14:50
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:56
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55