Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start v SK Brann

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-13 15:00 UTC

Score final : IK Start 2–0 SK Brann

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

52 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.364%
Kelly +0.482%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.95%24.85%24.75%27.46%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.673.654.1030.77%27.28%27.40%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

SK Brann (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.87%1.93cote équitable
EV -0.413%
Avantage -0.215%
Kelly -0.449%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.65%51.81%51.98%53.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.671.791.801.9259.88%55.72%55.56%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 23.38%4.28cote équitable
EV +1.93%
Avantage +0.442%
Kelly +0.573%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 4.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.07%23.33%23.28%24.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.893.904.3627.78%25.72%25.64%22.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Start (Local) : 24.75% ; SK Brann (Visiteur) : 51.87% ; Match nul : 23.38%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.28. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.36, soit une espérance positive de +1.93%.

Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.94%EV -3.95%E -1.02%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.87%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%4.36I 22.94%NM 22.19%EV +1.93%E +0.442%K +0.573%G +0.011%3.4%2026-09-13 14:45
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -4.70%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 52.20%EV -3.53%E -1.90%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.58%EV +0.522%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%3.0%2026-09-13 14:30
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.45%EV -18.31%E -5.55%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.48%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.07%EV +0.522%E +0.121%K +0.158%G +0.001%10.4%2026-09-13 14:30
LowVig.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
BetAnything🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.57%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.46%EV -19.55%E -6.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.29%EV -9.75%E -5.60%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.25%EV -1.82%E -0.432%K -0.567%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:30
DraftKings🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.28%EV -3.46%E -0.887%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.62%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.10%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-13 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.41%EV -10.79%E -6.27%K -14.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -4.15%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:31
Marathon Bet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 24.82%EV -6.92%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.14%EV -7.16%E -4.00%K -9.06%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.32%E -1.31%K -1.74%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-13 14:31
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:41
BetUS🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.62%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 14:36
FanDuel🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -6.49%E -1.62%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:50
GTbets🎯3.73I 26.81%NM 25.76%EV -7.67%E -2.06%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 50.04%EV -0.413%E -0.215%K -0.449%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.20%EV -7.19%E -1.81%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-13 14:25
1xBet🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -1.97%E -0.498%K -0.666%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.60%E -3.08%K -6.83%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 23.95%EV -7.43%E -1.88%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.26%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:30
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.58%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.47%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.94%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-13 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.72%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-13 14:30
LeoVegas🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.23%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.16%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.61%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 14:40
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.83%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.61%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:45
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.68%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -8.83%E -2.26%K -3.04%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-13 14:50
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.49%E +0.364%K +0.482%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:30
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV +1.49%E +0.364%K +0.482%G +0.007%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.28%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-13 14:30
BetMGM🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -4.04%E -2.19%K -4.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-13 14:01
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -5.08%E -2.78%K -6.12%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-13 14:25
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.17%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 52.30%EV -11.31%E -6.61%K -15.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.53%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.02%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 52.59%EV -12.34%E -7.30%K -17.89%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.39%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-13 14:35
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.44%EV -15.83%E -4.66%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 51.80%EV -13.38%E -8.01%K -19.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.76%EV -11.17%E -2.94%K -3.99%G +0.000%15.6%2026-09-13 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-13 14:31
Codere (IT)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.85%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.96%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.19%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.2%2026-09-13 14:30
Grosvenor🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:25
Unibet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.52%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.33%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-13 14:25
PlayUp🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.14%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 14:50
Sky Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.42%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 50.85%EV -9.23%E -5.27%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -12.34%E -3.29%K -4.49%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 14:50
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.56%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.26%EV -7.67%E -4.31%K -9.84%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.18%EV -13.50%E -3.65%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.14%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.42%EV -8.19%E -4.63%K -10.64%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.45%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-13 14:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.61%EV -14.60%E -4.23%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.19%EV -8.71%E -4.95%K -11.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.20%EV -14.67%E -4.02%K -5.54%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-13 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:56
Coral🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Neds🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.65%EV -6.64%E -3.69%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -15.84%E -4.40%K -6.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-13 13:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:50
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.71%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.2%2026-09-13 14:55