Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

IK Start v KFUM

Inizio: 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Finale: IK Start 4–1 KFUM

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

50 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

IK Start (Casa)

Previsione 52.03%1.92quota equa
EV -3.23%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -3.76%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.86

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.95%51.99%52.03%53.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.701.801.801.8658.82%55.71%55.56%53.76%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

KFUM (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.76%4.39quota equa
EV +1.49%
Vantaggio +0.334%
Kelly +0.430%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.46

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.58%22.81%22.77%25.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.503.934.004.4628.57%25.43%25.00%22.42%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 25.22%3.97quota equa
EV -1.65%
Vantaggio -0.422%
Kelly -0.568%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.26%25.20%25.20%26.43%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.653.603.9029.41%27.37%27.74%25.64%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: IK Start (Casa): 52.03%; KFUM (Trasferta): 22.76%; Pareggio: 25.22%. Per KFUM (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 4.39. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.46, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +1.49%.

Quote dei bookmaker (50 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.69%EV +1.49%E +0.334%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.87%EV -1.90%E -0.488%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +0.123%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.65%E -0.422%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 14:15
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -0.559%E -0.128%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.15%E -0.500%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:50
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.10%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -4.20%E -0.998%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -8.96%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:54
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -3.67%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.67%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 14:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.95%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55