Idioma:Español
IK Start v KFUM
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Start (Local)
Predicción 52.03%1.92momio equitativo
EV -3.23%
Ventaja -1.74%
Kelly -3.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.86
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.95%51.99%52.03%53.44%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.701.801.801.8658.82%55.71%55.56%53.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
KFUM (Visitante)
Predicción 22.76%4.39momio equitativo
EV +1.49%
Ventaja +0.334%
Kelly +0.430%
Crecimiento +0.006%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.46
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.58%22.81%22.77%25.55%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.934.004.4628.57%25.43%25.00%22.42%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 25.22%3.97momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.422%
Kelly -0.568%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.26%25.20%25.20%26.43%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.653.603.9029.41%27.37%27.74%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: IK Start (Local): 52.03%; KFUM (Visitante): 22.76%; Empate: 25.22%. Para KFUM (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.39. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.46, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.49%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 4.46I 22.42%NM 21.69%EV +1.49%E +0.334%K +0.430%G +0.006% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.87%EV -1.90%E -0.488%K -0.657%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +0.123%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.65%E -0.422%K -0.568%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -0.559%E -0.128%K -0.166%G +0.000% | 3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 14:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.15%E -0.500%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.10%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -4.20%E -0.998%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -8.96%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -3.67%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.67%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-30 14:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-30 14:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-30 14:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.95%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-30 14:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15% | 0.7% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08% | 0.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.67% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 14:55 |