Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start v KFUM

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-30 15:00 UTC

Score final : IK Start 4–1 KFUM

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

50 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Start (Local)

Prévision 52.03%1.92cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -3.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.95%51.99%52.03%53.44%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.701.801.801.8658.82%55.71%55.56%53.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

KFUM (Visiteur)

Prévision 22.76%4.39cote équitable
EV +1.49%
Avantage +0.334%
Kelly +0.430%
Croissance +0.006%

avec la cote maximale 4.46

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.58%22.81%22.77%25.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.934.004.4628.57%25.43%25.00%22.42%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.22%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.422%
Kelly -0.568%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.26%25.20%25.20%26.43%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.653.603.9029.41%27.37%27.74%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Start (Local) : 52.03% ; KFUM (Visiteur) : 22.76% ; Match nul : 25.22%. Pour KFUM (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.39. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.46, soit une espérance positive de +1.49%.

Cotes des opérateurs (50 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.44%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%4.46I 22.42%NM 21.69%EV +1.49%E +0.334%K +0.430%G +0.006%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.87%EV -1.90%E -0.488%K -0.657%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Coolbet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 53.05%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.06%EV +0.123%E +0.028%K +0.036%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.89%EV -1.65%E -0.422%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-30 14:15
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.85%EV -4.79%E -2.62%K -5.77%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.71%EV -0.559%E -0.128%K -0.166%G +0.000%3.59I 27.86%NM 26.43%EV -9.47%E -2.64%K -3.65%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 14:49
FanDuel🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.34%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.58%EV -2.15%E -0.500%K -0.652%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.08%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:50
1xBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.10%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.21I 23.75%NM 22.58%EV -4.20%E -0.998%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.33%EV -8.96%E -2.48%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
BetAnything🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 51.67%EV -4.27%E -2.32%K -5.09%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:55
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.40%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 14:55
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:54
BetUS🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.22%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 14:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -4.43%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.89%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.96%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.77%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.45%EV -3.67%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:55
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.57%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.64%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.47%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.90%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 14:55
SportsBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-30 14:55
LeoVegas🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.81%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.36%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.83%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.23%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.70%E -1.63%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-30 14:50
Unibet (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 52.67%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.11%EV -7.84%E -1.94%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.22%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.82%EV -3.23%E -1.74%K -3.76%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 14:30
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 14:20
betfred_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 14:25
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.27%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -8.98%E -2.24%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.12%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-30 14:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 51.87%EV -8.43%E -4.79%K -11.10%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.01%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-30 14:55
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 51.60%EV -9.99%E -5.78%K -13.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.89%EV -11.25%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.51%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:55
PlayUp🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.35%E -3.53%K -7.94%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.59%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-30 14:55
Winamax (FR)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 51.49%EV -9.47%E -5.45%K -12.80%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.27%EV -12.39%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.24%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-30 14:55
Bet Right🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-30 14:25
Coral🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
Neds🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 50.63%EV -8.95%E -5.12%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -13.53%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.06%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-30 14:15
BoyleSports🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 51.93%EV -11.56%E -6.80%K -16.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.54%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.52%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%13.3%2026-08-30 14:25
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Casumo🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.49%EV -3.75%E -2.03%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.81%E -4.27%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.26%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Grosvenor🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
Unibet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.02%EV -5.83%E -3.22%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -19.22%E -5.41%K -7.54%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.47%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:15
TABtouch🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.95%EV -6.87%E -3.84%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.55%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.50%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 14:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.07%EV -7.91%E -4.47%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.32%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.62%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-30 14:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎1.92I 52.08%NM 51.74%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.10%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.15%0.7%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.91I 52.36%NM 51.87%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.08%0.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.01%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.98%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-08-30 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.67%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.83%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.50%1.9%2026-08-30 14:55
Smarkets◎1.90I 52.63%NM 51.56%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.32%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.12%2.1%2026-08-30 14:55