Language:English
IK Start v Aalesund
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Start (Local)
Prediction 41.33%2.42fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -0.868%
Kelly -1.50%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.37
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.16%41.36%41.39%43.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.19%45.45%42.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Aalesund (Visit)
Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV +0.230%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.103%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.04%31.06%31.02%31.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.983.003.2337.04%33.56%33.33%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.64%3.62fair odd
EV -1.87%
Edge -0.526%
Kelly -0.733%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.50%27.58%27.60%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.77%29.41%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Start (Local): 41.33%; Aalesund (Visit): 31.03%; Draw: 27.64%. For Aalesund (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.230%.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.83%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV +0.230%E +0.071%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -1.63%E -0.515%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -6.19%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -3.18%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.23%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.78%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.78%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.32%E -4.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.32%E -4.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -11.56%E -5.40%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.39%E -5.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.39%E -5.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.57%EV -3.30%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.75%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.38%EV -14.45%E -6.98%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -9.61%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.28%E -7.45%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.39%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.67%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.67%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -17.35%E -8.67%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -16.22%E -6.01%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -15.69%E -5.14%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |