La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IK Start v Aalesund
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Start (Local)
Predicción 41.33%2.42momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -0.868%
Kelly -1.50%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.37
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.16%41.36%41.39%43.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.212.202.3750.00%45.19%45.45%42.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Aalesund (Visitante)
Predicción 31.03%3.22momio equitativo
EV +0.230%
Ventaja +0.071%
Kelly +0.103%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
30.04%31.06%31.02%31.91%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.983.003.2337.04%33.56%33.33%30.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.64%3.62momio equitativo
EV -1.87%
Ventaja -0.526%
Kelly -0.733%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.50%27.58%27.60%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.363.403.5534.72%29.77%29.41%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.83%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.04%EV +0.230%E +0.071%K +0.103%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.13%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-03-21 14:19 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.73%EV -4.12%E -1.78%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.54%EV -1.63%E -0.515%K -0.752%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.74%EV -3.53%E -1.01%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetUS | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| BetAnything | 2.37I 42.19%NM 40.87%EV -2.06%E -0.868%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.65%EV -1.94%E -0.615%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.49%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| 1xBet | 2.27I 44.05%NM 41.82%EV -6.19%E -2.73%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.43%EV -3.18%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.76%EV -5.46%E -1.60%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 14:54 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.15%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -1.87%E -0.526%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-21 08:09 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.44%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -5.05%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -8.23%E -2.48%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| NordicBet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.78%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betsson | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.52%EV -5.78%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.04%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.44%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.78%EV -9.91%E -4.54%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.65%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.32%E -4.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.89%EV -10.32%E -4.76%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -5.36%E -1.76%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.59%EV -3.25%E -0.929%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| FanDuel | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-21 14:09 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| TABtouch | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.85%EV -11.56%E -5.40%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.58%EV -4.63%E -1.34%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-21 07:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.39%E -5.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.91%EV -12.39%E -5.84%K -11.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -6.91%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| GTbets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.57%EV -3.30%E -1.41%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.75%EV -7.22%E -2.41%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.68%EV -5.19%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-21 08:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -7.02%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.40%E -2.21%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| LeoVegas | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.56%EV -8.46%E -2.87%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-21 08:00 |
| Fanatics | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.26%E -3.72%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:29 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -10.16%E -3.13%K -4.52%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Sky Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.35%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.87%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.78%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -6.02%E -1.77%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-21 14:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.07I 48.31%NM 42.38%EV -14.45%E -6.98%K -13.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -11.56%E -4.06%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.27I 30.58%NM 26.83%EV -9.61%E -2.94%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:35 |
| Coral | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.14%EV -15.28%E -7.45%K -14.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-21 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.29%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.39%E -7.08%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-03-21 14:49 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.75%EV -11.15%E -5.19%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.86%EV -14.67%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.38%EV -11.54%E -3.61%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.67%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.82%EV -14.67%E -5.33%K -8.38%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.52%EV -8.78%E -2.66%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-03-21 14:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 41.73%EV -17.35%E -8.67%K -17.35%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 30.91%EV -16.22%E -6.01%K -9.54%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 27.36%EV -15.69%E -5.14%K -7.65%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-21 14:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.58% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.49% | 1.0% | 2026-03-21 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:44 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.42% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.81% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-03-21 14:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.47% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.81% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.73% | 3.1% | 2026-03-21 14:39 |