Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.18
assuming max odds 2.28
assuming max odds 3.80
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HamKam (Local): 30.74%; Vålerenga (Visit): 42.83%; Draw: 26.43%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.442%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.442%E +0.116%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -2.24%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.52%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%EV -4.09%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.33%EV -3.78%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.77%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.96%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.58%EV -8.78%E -4.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -15.46%E -5.62%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -14.35%E -7.17%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -3.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.86%EV -14.78%E -7.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -17.00%E -6.30%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.35%E -7.17%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.70%E -6.90%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |