La escuela de los momiosHamKam v Vålerenga
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
HamKam (Local)
Predicción 30.74%3.25momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.705%
Kelly -1.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.18
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.41%30.82%30.72%32.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.702.952.903.1837.04%33.87%34.48%31.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Vålerenga (Visitante)
Predicción 42.83%2.34momio equitativo
EV -2.36%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.28
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.72%42.75%42.78%43.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.992.182.192.2850.25%45.91%45.66%43.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV +0.442%
Ventaja +0.116%
Kelly +0.158%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.54%26.43%26.50%28.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.463.503.8033.33%28.94%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.31%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.14%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV +0.442%E +0.116%K +0.158%G +0.001% | 3.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Pinnacle | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.45%EV -2.24%E -0.705%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.03%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.53%EV -3.52%E -0.965%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.93%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.87%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.20%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.84%E -1.35%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| GTbets | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.49%EV -4.09%E -1.31%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.86%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.65%EV -5.64%E -1.58%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| DraftKings | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.93%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.60%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.27%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.18%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.55%EV -6.17%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| 1xBet | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.33%EV -3.78%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.77%EV -4.93%E -2.22%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.90%EV -6.69%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.69%EV -6.55%E -2.15%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.80%EV -6.64%E -3.05%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 26.51%EV -6.96%E -1.98%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| Betsson | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| NordicBet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.95%EV -3.16%E -1.00%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 43.09%EV -6.21%E -2.84%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| FanDuel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-08 16:58 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Grosvenor | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:45 |
| Casumo | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| betPARX | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -12.39%E -4.35%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.79%EV -2.36%E -1.03%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| betfred_uk | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.68%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Bet Victor | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.49%E -2.14%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-05-08 16:57 |
| Bovada | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.28%EV -6.24%E -2.05%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.95%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.77%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-08 16:55 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.72%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.72%EV -3.64%E -1.62%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.60%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.94%EV -4.50%E -2.02%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.46%EV -8.81%E -2.55%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betway | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -4.70%E -1.52%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| SportsBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.35%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.78%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -9.31%E -3.16%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 42.58%EV -8.78%E -4.12%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -7.78%E -2.59%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.69%EV -15.46%E -5.62%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.87%EV -5.78%E -2.63%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.44%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.35%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 42.83%EV -12.21%E -5.95%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.82%EV -10.13%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.09%EV -10.24%E -3.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.92%EV -14.35%E -7.17%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 25.99%EV -10.66%E -3.15%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.09%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 43.86%EV -14.78%E -7.42%K -14.92%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%EV -11.45%E -3.42%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Neds | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Coral | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.68%EV -10.85%E -3.74%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.36%EV -10.06%E -4.79%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.96%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -17.00%E -6.30%K -10.00%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -7.92%E -3.69%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -12.77%E -3.87%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -11.46%E -3.98%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -14.35%E -7.17%K -14.35%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -20.70%E -6.90%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.05% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.50% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.45% | 0.8% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.95% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 43.34% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.71% | 1.2% | 2026-05-08 17:00 |
| Smarkets | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.04% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 43.20% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.75% | 2.4% | 2026-05-08 16:59 |