The School of Odds
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HamKam v Sarpsborg FK

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (10 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

HamKam (Local)

Prediction 30.75%3.25fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -0.503%
Kelly -0.731%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.80%30.60%30.76%31.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.033.053.2036.36%32.97%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Visit)

Prediction 44.28%2.26fair odd
EV -4.35%
Edge -2.01%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.16

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.43%44.35%44.28%45.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.842.042.072.1654.35%48.91%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.97%4.00fair odd
EV -3.12%
Edge -0.803%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.37%25.06%24.96%26.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.613.653.8829.41%27.69%27.40%25.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: HamKam (Local): 30.75%; Sarpsborg FK (Visit): 44.28%; Draw: 24.97%. For HamKam (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.20, with an expected value of -1.61%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 16:20
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.37%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75%EV -3.62%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 16:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:05
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.13%EV -5.61%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.24%EV -4.35%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.63%EV -3.12%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.23%EV -13.21%E -6.74%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 16:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 16:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:30
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -8.07%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 19:15
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 45.49%EV -18.52%E -10.07%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%19.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -15.44%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.10%EV -14.09%E -7.26%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.80%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 30.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%16.1%2026-11-01 16:30