StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

HamKam v Sarpsborg FK

2026-11-08 16:00 UTC — Eliteserien - Norway

Matchresultat

35 spelbolag (10 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

HamKam (Hemma)

Prognos 30.75%3.25rättvist odds
EV -1.61%
Fördel -0.503%
Kelly -0.731%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.80%30.60%30.76%31.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.753.033.053.2036.36%32.97%32.79%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Sarpsborg FK (Borta)

Prognos 44.28%2.26rättvist odds
EV -4.35%
Fördel -2.01%
Kelly -3.75%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.16

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
43.43%44.35%44.28%45.49%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.842.042.072.1654.35%48.91%48.31%46.30%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 24.97%4.00rättvist odds
EV -3.12%
Fördel -0.803%
Kelly -1.08%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.88

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
24.37%25.06%24.96%26.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.403.613.653.8829.41%27.69%27.40%25.77%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

För Matchresultat uppskattar Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) följande sannolikheter: HamKam (Hemma): 30.75%; Sarpsborg FK (Borta): 44.28%; Oavgjort: 24.97%. För HamKam (Hemma) motsvarar uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.25. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjuder odds över den nivån: bästa tillgängliga odds är 3.20, med väntevärdet -1.61%; det ger inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (35 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Betsson🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.39%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.79%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-01 16:20
BetRivers🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Casumo🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Unibet (NL)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Unibet (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
betPARX🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
ATG (SE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
Svenska Spel🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.61%E -0.503%K -0.731%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.17%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.62%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-01 16:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.86%EV -3.15%E -0.999%K -1.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.37%EV -6.12%E -2.89%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-01 16:20
Pinnacle🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.82%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.43%EV -4.79%E -2.23%K -4.17%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.75%EV -3.62%E -0.937%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-01 17:25
Unibet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 16:05
Grosvenor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.8%2026-11-01 16:05
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -4.68%E -1.51%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-01 16:05
1xBet🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 31.13%EV -5.61%E -1.83%K -2.71%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.24%EV -4.35%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.63%EV -3.12%E -0.803%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-01 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:05
Virgin Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.14%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.11%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.76%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:05
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.07%EV -6.22%E -2.04%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.23%EV -13.21%E -6.74%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.70%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%12.8%2026-11-01 16:05
FanDuel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.11%E -1.35%K -1.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-11-01 19:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -6.36%E -1.70%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-11-01 16:30
Unibet (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.87%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.10%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.03%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-11-01 16:30
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.67%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 44.46%EV -8.33%E -4.03%K -7.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.87%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:15
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-01 16:35
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.76%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.5%2026-11-01 17:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.11%EV -8.07%E -2.70%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -7.01%E -3.34%K -6.37%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.61%EV -5.61%E -1.49%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-11-01 17:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.90%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.46%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -7.61%E -2.06%K -2.82%G +0.000%9.7%2026-11-01 19:15
LeoVegas🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.30%E -3.15%K -4.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.32%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.89%EV -8.86%E -2.43%K -3.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-11-01 17:15
Betway🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -9.22%E -4.50%K -8.78%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.0%2026-11-01 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.72%EV -10.83%E -3.74%K -5.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.54%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.3%2026-11-01 16:20
betfred_uk🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.86%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.44%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.69%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%12.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.44%EV -11.45%E -3.97%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.51%EV -12.76%E -6.48%K -13.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -12.60%E -3.60%K -5.04%G +0.000%14.1%2026-11-01 16:19
Winamax (DE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.33%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.30%EV -12.32%E -6.22%K -12.57%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.37%EV -10.11%E -2.81%K -3.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-01 16:19
Sky Bet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 31.02%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.43%EV -11.43%E -5.72%K -11.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.55%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%15.1%2026-11-01 16:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 29.89%EV -13.91%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 45.49%EV -18.52%E -10.07%K -22.05%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -15.10%E -4.44%K -6.29%G +0.000%19.5%2026-11-01 16:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 31.11%EV -15.44%E -5.62%K -8.83%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.10%EV -14.09%E -7.26%K -14.99%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.80%EV -13.85%E -4.02%K -5.65%G +0.000%16.9%2026-11-01 16:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets◎2.80I 35.71%NM 30.77%1.98I 50.51%NM 43.51%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.72%16.1%2026-11-01 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-01 20:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-01 20:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-11-01 20:15