Language:English
HamKam v IK Start
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
HamKam (Local)
Prediction 47.03%2.13fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.77%46.90%47.01%48.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.981.992.0554.64%50.54%50.25%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
IK Start (Visit)
Prediction 26.86%3.72fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.615%
Kelly -0.848%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.15%27.05%26.86%29.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.053.313.303.6432.79%30.18%30.30%27.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 26.12%3.83fair odd
EV -0.761%
Edge -0.200%
Kelly -0.272%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.28%26.04%26.14%28.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.70%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: HamKam (Local): 47.03%; IK Start (Visit): 26.86%; Draw: 26.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -0.761%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (53 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06%EV -4.54%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.84%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.66I 27.32%NM 26.10%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-20 12:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.04%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.41%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-20 18:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -0.761%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-23 15:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-23 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:03 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -6.42%E -3.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -6.42%E -3.22%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-24 01:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:53 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.53%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-21 15:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -7.36%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -2.24%E -0.615%K -0.848%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -2.59%E -0.694%K -0.948%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 16:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -7.36%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-22 04:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-20 18:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 16:06 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 15:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 15:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 15:04 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-21 15:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.79%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-20 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -9.71%E -5.06%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 16.9% | 2026-04-23 16:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.65%E -5.60%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 16:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -10.65%E -5.60%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-24 03:18 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 46.40%EV -12.53%E -6.74%K -14.57%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 46.82%EV -13.47%E -7.32%K -16.04%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 26.26%EV -14.34%E -4.37%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 15:58 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.94%E -7.62%K -16.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-23 15:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52% | 10.9% | 2026-04-23 22:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43% | 11.3% | 2026-04-23 16:00 |