La escuela de los momios

HamKam v IK Start

Inicio: 2026-04-26 15:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

53 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

HamKam (Local)

Predicción 47.03%2.13momio equitativo
EV -3.60%
Ventaja -1.75%
Kelly -3.42%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.77%46.90%47.01%48.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.831.981.992.0554.64%50.54%50.25%48.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IK Start (Visitante)

Predicción 26.86%3.72momio equitativo
EV -2.24%
Ventaja -0.615%
Kelly -0.848%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.15%27.05%26.86%29.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.313.303.6432.79%30.18%30.30%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.12%3.83momio equitativo
EV -0.761%
Ventaja -0.200%
Kelly -0.272%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.28%26.04%26.14%28.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.483.503.8033.33%28.70%28.57%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.31%EV -3.60%E -1.75%K -3.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-23 16:05
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:29
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
ATG (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:29
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 45.04%EV -4.07%E -1.99%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.71%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-20 12:30
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 47.06%EV -4.54%E -2.23%K -4.40%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.84%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.10%EV -4.42%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-23 16:04
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:30
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -5.01%E -2.48%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -15.40%E -4.89%K -7.16%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-20 12:29
GTbets2.01I 49.75%NM 47.04%EV -5.48%E -2.72%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.56%EV -4.39%E -1.23%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.41%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-20 18:05
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 48.03%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.69%EV -3.31%E -0.920%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.28%EV -0.761%E -0.200%K -0.272%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-23 22:14
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:00
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.01%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.12%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 15:54
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 16:04
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 16:50
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:03
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.92%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 16:04
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -5.95%E -2.97%K -5.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-20 12:30
BetOnline.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -6.42%E -3.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 01:44
LowVig.ag1.99I 50.25%NM 46.61%EV -6.42%E -3.22%K -6.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.50%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.89%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-24 01:44
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:53
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.78%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -4.65%E -1.31%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.57%EV -3.37%E -0.912%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 15:59
Marathon Bet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.12%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 26.81%EV -6.53%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.06%EV -6.51%E -1.82%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 15:59
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.92%EV -6.89%E -3.48%K -7.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.54%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-21 15:05
Pinnacle1.97I 50.76%NM 48.32%EV -7.36%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.15%EV -2.24%E -0.615%K -0.848%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.52%EV -2.59%E -0.694%K -0.948%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 16:05
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 45.38%EV -7.36%E -3.73%K -7.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.94%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 02:00
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-22 04:09
Fanatics1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-20 18:15
Bovada1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:06
BetUS1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -8.68%E -2.55%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 16:04
Codere (IT)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.57%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.11%EV -10.03%E -2.99%K -4.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.32%EV -9.90%E -2.87%K -4.04%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-23 16:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 15:00
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 15:04
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-21 15:05
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.37%E -3.45%K -4.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-23 16:00
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 45.40%EV -8.30%E -4.26%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.56%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-23 16:04
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 45.27%EV -9.24%E -4.79%K -9.93%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.65%EV -18.08%E -5.93%K -8.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.08%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-20 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.74%EV -9.71%E -5.06%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.64%EV -8.60%E -2.46%K -3.44%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-23 15:59
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 45.92%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.29%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.79%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%14.0%2026-04-23 16:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 44.77%EV -10.18%E -5.33%K -11.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.72%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.50%EV -21.65%E -7.22%K -10.83%G +0.000%16.9%2026-04-23 16:04
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -10.65%E -5.60%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -6.00%E -1.71%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -5.98%E -1.66%K -2.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 16:20
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 46.65%EV -10.65%E -5.60%K -11.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -12.71%E -3.91%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.07%EV -11.21%E -3.30%K -4.67%G +0.000%12.8%2026-04-24 03:18
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 46.40%EV -12.53%E -6.74%K -14.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.84%EV -16.74%E -5.40%K -7.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.76%EV -12.51%E -3.74%K -5.32%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-23 16:00
Betclic (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 46.82%EV -13.47%E -7.32%K -16.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.92%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 26.26%EV -14.34%E -4.37%K -6.29%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 15:58
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 47.03%EV -13.94%E -7.62%K -16.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.89%EV -14.05%E -4.39%K -6.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.08%EV -13.82%E -4.19%K -6.01%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-23 15:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%10.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%10.6%2026-04-23 22:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 46.96%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%10.9%2026-04-23 22:05
Smarkets1.94I 51.55%NM 46.33%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.43%11.3%2026-04-23 16:00