Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 2–1 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Prediction 47.66%2.10fair odd
EV -1.34%
Edge -0.646%
Kelly -1.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.63%47.63%47.67%48.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.952.0755.25%51.22%51.28%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 25.22%3.97fair odd
EV +0.622%
Edge +0.156%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%25.29%25.18%28.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.543.503.9932.26%28.28%28.57%25.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.12%3.69fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.659%
Kelly -0.913%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.57%27.08%27.15%28.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.30%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fredrikstad FK (Local): 47.66%; HamKam (Visit): 25.22%; Draw: 27.12%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.97. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.99, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.622%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 48.52%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.20%EV +0.622%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 13:55
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.65%E -0.422%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:38
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -2.66%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -6.17%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
LowVig.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
Coolbet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 46.88%EV -1.34%E -0.646%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.40%EV -3.66%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:34
GTbets🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.08%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.86%EV -6.98%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 13:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:40
Everygame🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:54
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:55
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:40
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:45
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 13:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:39
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:43
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 13:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.01%E -4.15%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:40
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.78%E -6.98%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -13.73%E -7.59%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 13:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -12.30%E -6.69%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 13:39
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Neds🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:40
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.78%E -6.98%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.64%E -6.21%K -9.32%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.10%E -3.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.10%E -3.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
LeoVegas🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -9.92%E -5.25%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -21.82%E -7.04%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 13:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-16 13:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-05-16 13:55