La escuela de los momios

Fredrikstad FK v HamKam

Inicio: 2026-05-16 14:00 UTC

Final: Fredrikstad FK 2–1 HamKam

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Fredrikstad FK (Local)

Predicción 47.66%2.10momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.646%
Kelly -1.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.07

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.63%47.63%47.67%48.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.811.951.952.0755.25%51.22%51.28%48.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HamKam (Visitante)

Predicción 25.22%3.97momio equitativo
EV +0.622%
Ventaja +0.156%
Kelly +0.208%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.99

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.11%25.29%25.18%28.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.543.503.9932.26%28.28%28.57%25.06%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.12%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.37%
Ventaja -0.659%
Kelly -0.913%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.57%27.08%27.15%28.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.413.403.6033.33%29.30%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.99I 50.25%NM 48.52%EV -5.15%E -2.59%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.20%EV +0.622%E +0.156%K +0.208%G +0.001%3.54I 28.25%NM 27.28%EV -4.00%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-16 13:55
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -1.65%E -0.422%K -0.568%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 13:38
1xBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.96%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.86I 25.91%NM 24.60%EV -2.66%E -0.688%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.44%EV -6.17%E -1.78%K -2.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.44%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.65%EV -2.91%E -0.755%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 13:55
Coolbet2.07I 48.31%NM 46.88%EV -1.34%E -0.646%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.40%EV -3.66%E -0.959%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.72%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-16 13:34
GTbets2.03I 49.26%NM 47.07%EV -3.24%E -1.60%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.08%EV -3.92%E -1.03%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.86%EV -6.98%E -2.04%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-16 13:40
DraftKings2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.99%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.53%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-16 13:55
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.17%E -1.10%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.58%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.12%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.30%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 13:35
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.28%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.59%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-16 13:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:40
Everygame1.90I 52.63%NM 48.02%EV -9.44%E -4.97%K -10.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.33%EV -5.43%E -1.45%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.65%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:40
Marathon Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.82%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.07%EV -6.19%E -1.66%K -2.27%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.11%EV -6.71%E -1.95%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-16 13:54
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:55
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.92%EV -3.72%E -1.84%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.61%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-16 13:55
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 47.22%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.90%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-16 13:40
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 47.93%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.74%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 13:45
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.73%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.64%EV -6.69%E -1.81%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-16 13:40
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 47.77%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.00%EV -7.95%E -2.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.24%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:55
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.65%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.55%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-16 13:45
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 46.90%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.31%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-16 13:39
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Bet Victor1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-16 13:43
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 47.21%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.05%EV -9.21%E -2.56%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-16 13:40
Codere (IT)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.17%EV -8.01%E -4.15%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.65%EV -10.47%E -2.95%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.18%EV -9.15%E -2.73%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-16 13:40
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-16 13:45
Winamax (DE)1.92I 52.08%NM 47.50%EV -8.49%E -4.42%K -9.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.44%EV -6.44%E -1.87%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-16 13:35
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.14%EV -12.78%E -6.98%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.17%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.69%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-16 13:40
Betclic (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 48.41%EV -13.73%E -7.59%K -16.95%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.04%EV -11.73%E -3.35%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 13:39
Unibet (FR)1.84I 54.35%NM 47.63%EV -12.30%E -6.69%K -14.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.40%EV -13.00%E -3.77%K -5.30%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-16 13:39
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 45.63%EV -5.63%E -2.84%K -5.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.57%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -11.86%E -3.65%K -5.27%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-16 13:55
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Neds1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -7.06%E -3.62%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -13.22%E -4.13%K -6.01%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-16 13:40
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 46.72%EV -8.96%E -4.69%K -9.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.24%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 13:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.55%EV -12.78%E -6.98%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.05%EV -14.26%E -4.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.40%EV -18.64%E -6.21%K -9.32%G +0.000%17.4%2026-05-16 13:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 47.20%EV -11.35%E -6.10%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.20%EV -15.52%E -4.63%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.60%EV -10.51%E -3.18%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-16 13:35
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
Svenska Spel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -16.78%E -5.08%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-16 13:30
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 46.06%EV -4.67%E -2.34%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -18.04%E -5.55%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.59%EV -2.37%E -0.659%K -0.913%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-16 13:30
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.10%E -3.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.07%EV -6.10%E -3.10%K -6.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.36%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.57%EV -3.73%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-16 13:30
LeoVegas1.94I 51.55%NM 46.28%EV -7.53%E -3.88%K -8.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -19.30%E -6.03%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.66%EV -5.08%E -1.45%K -2.03%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-16 13:30
PMU (FR)1.89I 52.91%NM 46.18%EV -9.92%E -5.25%K -11.14%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -21.82%E -7.04%K -10.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -7.80%E -2.29%K -3.25%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-16 13:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.09%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.14%0.9%2026-05-16 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.65%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.01%1.4%2026-05-16 13:55
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 48.15%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.56%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.29%1.8%2026-05-16 13:55