Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-07-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 3–0 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

55 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Prediction 86.07%1.16fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -4.02%
Kelly -40.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.11

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.96%86.06%85.61%88.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.44%91.74%90.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 4.88%20.51fair odd
EV +26.79%
Edge +1.03%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.287%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.64%4.89%4.98%6.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0018.4318.0026.007.69%5.43%5.56%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 9.05%11.04fair odd
EV +17.71%
Edge +1.36%
Kelly +1.48%
Growth +0.261%

assuming max odds 13.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.30%9.05%9.42%11.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.829.5013.0012.50%10.18%10.53%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bodø/Glimt (Local): 86.07%; HamKam (Visit): 4.88%; Draw: 9.05%. For HamKam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 20.51. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +26.79%.

Sportsbook Odds (55 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.34%EV -4.46%E -4.02%K -40.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +26.79%E +1.03%K +1.07%G +0.287%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -22.13%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 16:59
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.49%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +21.91%E +0.876%K +0.913%G +0.200%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.65%EV +14.09%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.171%3.7%2026-07-22 16:58
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.93%EV +17.03%E +0.710%K +0.741%G +0.126%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.36%EV -17.60%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 16:30
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.89%EV +17.03%E +0.710%K +0.741%G +0.126%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.95%EV +6.39%E +0.544%K +0.595%G +0.038%7.0%2026-07-22 17:00
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 87.08%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +12.16%E +0.529%K +0.553%G +0.067%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:29
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +7.28%E +0.331%K +0.347%G +0.025%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.23%EV -6.74%E -0.654%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +7.28%E +0.331%K +0.347%G +0.025%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -0.397%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 15:59
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:59
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 16:59
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 84.04%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -27.56%E -3.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 16:59
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.81%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%20.86I 4.79%NM 4.59%EV +1.72%E +0.083%K +0.087%G +0.001%12.59I 7.94%NM 7.60%EV +14.00%E +1.11%K +1.21%G +0.169%4.5%2026-07-22 16:59
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +8.66%E +0.721%K +0.787%G +0.068%5.9%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.57%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 16:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 17:00
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 86.39%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:29
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.397%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 16:04
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:59
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:59
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -4.46%E -4.02%K -40.58%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.11%EV -9.79%E -0.529%K -0.559%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.70%EV -11.72%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 15:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:44
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:44
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.08%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 13:44
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:44
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 85.16%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.09%EV -13.44%E -0.757%K -0.803%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.76%EV -16.24%E -1.76%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 87.11%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +17.71%E +1.36%K +1.48%G +0.261%5.3%2026-07-22 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:30
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.35%EV -20.32%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:59
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 85.06%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.74%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 84.86%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.24%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 16:29
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.37%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 13:44
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -19.54%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +4.13%E +0.359%K +0.393%G +0.016%7.3%2026-07-22 16:59
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -19.54%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +4.13%E +0.359%K +0.393%G +0.016%7.3%2026-07-22 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.06%EV -24.41%E -1.58%K -1.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +8.66%E +0.721%K +0.787%G +0.068%6.5%2026-07-22 16:29
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:28
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.23%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:00
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -36.61%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -27.56%E -3.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.90%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.76%EV -36.61%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 16:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.24%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-07-22 16:30