La escuela de los momios

Bodø/Glimt v HamKam

Inicio: 2026-07-22 17:00 UTC

Final: Bodø/Glimt 3–0 HamKam

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Bodø/Glimt (Local)

Predicción 86.07%1.16momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -4.02%
Kelly -40.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.11

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.96%86.06%85.61%88.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.051.081.091.1195.24%92.44%91.74%90.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

HamKam (Visitante)

Predicción 4.88%20.51momio equitativo
EV +26.79%
Ventaja +1.03%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.287%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 26.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.64%4.89%4.98%6.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
13.0018.4318.0026.007.69%5.43%5.56%3.85%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 9.05%11.04momio equitativo
EV +17.71%
Ventaja +1.36%
Kelly +1.48%
Crecimiento +0.261%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 13.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.30%9.05%9.42%11.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
8.009.829.5013.0012.50%10.18%10.53%7.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 85.34%EV -4.46%E -4.02%K -40.58%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +26.79%E +1.03%K +1.07%G +0.287%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.02%EV -22.13%E -2.57%K -2.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-22 16:59
Coolbet1.09I 91.74%NM 88.49%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.86%EV +21.91%E +0.876%K +0.913%G +0.200%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.65%EV +14.09%E +1.12%K +1.21%G +0.171%3.7%2026-07-22 16:58
NordicBet1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.93%EV +17.03%E +0.710%K +0.741%G +0.126%9.10I 10.99%NM 10.36%EV -17.60%E -1.93%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-22 16:30
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.15%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%24.00I 4.17%NM 3.89%EV +17.03%E +0.710%K +0.741%G +0.126%11.75I 8.51%NM 7.95%EV +6.39%E +0.544%K +0.595%G +0.038%7.0%2026-07-22 17:00
FanDuel1.07I 93.46%NM 87.08%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.05%EV +12.16%E +0.529%K +0.553%G +0.067%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.87%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-22 16:29
1xBet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.45%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.32%EV +7.28%E +0.331%K +0.347%G +0.025%10.30I 9.71%NM 9.23%EV -6.74%E -0.654%K -0.724%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Tipico (DE)1.05I 95.24%NM 87.48%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.17%EV +7.28%E +0.331%K +0.347%G +0.025%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -0.397%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-22 15:59
Unibet (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.03%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.51%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.46%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-22 16:59
BetUS1.09I 91.74%NM 86.14%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.47%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.39%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-22 16:59
PlayUp1.10I 90.91%NM 84.04%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.40%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.56%EV -27.56%E -3.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-22 16:59
SportsBet1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.38%EV +2.41%E +0.115%K +0.120%G +0.003%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-22 16:29
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 87.81%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%20.86I 4.79%NM 4.59%EV +1.72%E +0.083%K +0.087%G +0.001%12.59I 7.94%NM 7.60%EV +14.00%E +1.11%K +1.21%G +0.169%4.5%2026-07-22 16:59
DraftKings1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.72%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.87%EV +8.66%E +0.721%K +0.787%G +0.068%5.9%2026-07-22 16:59
betano_uk1.06I 94.34%NM 86.28%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.57%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.15%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 16:57
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 86.77%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.56%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.68%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 17:00
Bet Victor1.06I 94.34%NM 85.87%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.55%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Paddy Power1.05I 95.24%NM 86.39%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.54%EV -2.47%E -0.124%K -0.130%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:29
Fanatics1.10I 90.91%NM 86.36%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -0.397%E -0.036%K -0.040%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-22 16:04
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 85.85%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.27%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:59
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 86.07%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 4.80%EV -7.35%E -0.387%K -0.408%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.12%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:59
BetMGM1.11I 90.09%NM 85.19%EV -4.46%E -4.02%K -40.58%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.11%EV -9.79%E -0.529%K -0.559%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.70%EV -11.72%E -1.20%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-22 15:59
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 84.97%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.19%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.84%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-22 13:44
Unibet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:44
Grosvenor1.09I 91.74%NM 85.09%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-22 13:44
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 84.75%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.08%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.17%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-22 13:44
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:45
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 84.87%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.04%EV -12.22%E -0.679%K -0.719%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.09%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-22 13:44
Betclic (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 85.16%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.09%EV -13.44%E -0.757%K -0.803%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 9.76%EV -16.24%E -1.76%K -1.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-22 16:58
Betway1.09I 91.74%NM 87.11%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.59%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.30%EV +17.71%E +1.36%K +1.48%G +0.261%5.3%2026-07-22 16:00
PointsBet (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-22 16:30
Codere (IT)1.08I 92.59%NM 84.30%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.36%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.35%EV -20.32%E -2.31%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:59
BoyleSports1.07I 93.46%NM 85.06%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.35%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.58%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Everygame1.06I 94.34%NM 85.59%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.34%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.07%EV -9.45%E -0.945%K -1.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:59
Unibet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.74%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.28%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.98%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-22 16:59
Sky Bet1.05I 95.24%NM 84.86%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.24%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 9.90%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-22 16:29
PMU (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 84.37%EV -9.63%E -9.17%K -192.56%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.21%EV -17.10%E -1.01%K -1.07%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.42%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%12.9%2026-07-22 13:44
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -19.54%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +4.13%E +0.359%K +0.393%G +0.016%7.3%2026-07-22 16:59
BetAnything1.08I 92.59%NM 86.25%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.65%EV -19.54%E -1.18%K -1.26%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.10%EV +4.13%E +0.359%K +0.393%G +0.016%7.3%2026-07-22 16:59
BetOnline.ag1.09I 91.74%NM 86.12%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.06%EV -24.41%E -1.58%K -1.68%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.82%EV +8.66%E +0.721%K +0.787%G +0.068%6.5%2026-07-22 16:29
betfred_uk1.10I 90.91%NM 83.64%EV -5.32%E -4.84%K -53.24%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.22%EV -18.51%E -2.06%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-22 16:28
Winamax (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 85.23%EV -7.91%E -7.39%K -112.95%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.08%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.69%EV -4.92%E -0.469%K -0.518%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-22 16:59
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 84.34%EV -7.05%E -6.52%K -88.07%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.07%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.59%EV -13.98%E -1.47%K -1.64%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Coral1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 15:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 83.27%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.05%EV -26.85%E -1.79%K -1.92%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.68%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-22 16:00
Bet Right1.09I 91.74%NM 81.96%EV -6.19%E -5.67%K -68.72%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.87%EV -36.61%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.17%EV -27.56%E -3.45%K -3.94%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-22 16:29
Winamax (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 82.90%EV -8.77%E -8.27%K -146.12%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 6.76%EV -36.61%E -2.82%K -3.05%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.34%EV -23.03%E -2.71%K -3.07%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-22 16:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:29
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Matchbook1.11I 90.09%NM 89.35%30.00I 3.33%NM 3.31%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.35%0.8%2026-07-22 16:30
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 89.24%28.99I 3.45%NM 3.42%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.34%0.9%2026-07-22 16:30