Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund v HamKam

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Final: Aalesund 2–2 HamKam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

54 sportsbooks (19 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Aalesund (Local)

Prediction 45.65%2.19fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -0.858%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.74%45.60%45.70%47.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.042.1552.36%49.39%49.02%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

HamKam (Visit)

Prediction 28.94%3.46fair odd
EV -1.32%
Edge -0.387%
Kelly -0.548%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.41

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.44%28.99%28.91%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.183.203.4134.48%31.49%31.25%29.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.41%3.94fair odd
EV +0.109%
Edge +0.028%
Kelly +0.037%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.94

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.11%25.42%25.39%27.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.573.553.9432.26%28.02%28.17%25.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Aalesund (Local): 45.65%; HamKam (Visit): 28.94%; Draw: 25.41%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.936. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.940, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.109%.

Sportsbook Odds (54 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.87%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV +0.109%E +0.028%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.37%EV -1.32%E -0.387%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -2.94%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.85%E -0.858%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:59
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.59%EV -5.50%E -2.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.37%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 17:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.74%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.06%E -0.913%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.06%E -0.913%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.61%E -0.474%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:58
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.06%E -5.11%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.03%EV -10.52%E -5.37%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.91%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 16:58
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.91%EV -7.32%E -3.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.61%E -4.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -10.52%E -5.37%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -16.08%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-29 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.80%E -6.70%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-29 16:59
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.43%E -5.89%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -11.43%E -5.89%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -11.74%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -16.15%E -4.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.80%E -6.70%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.23%E -6.85%K -10.11%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-05-29 17:00