Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund v HamKam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-29 17:02 UTC

Score final : Aalesund 2–2 HamKam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (19 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aalesund (Local)

Prévision 45.65%2.19cote équitable
EV -1.85%
Avantage -0.858%
Kelly -1.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.74%45.60%45.70%47.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.042.1552.36%49.39%49.02%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

HamKam (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.94%3.46cote équitable
EV -1.32%
Avantage -0.387%
Kelly -0.548%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.41

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.44%28.99%28.91%30.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.183.203.4134.48%31.49%31.25%29.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.41%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.109%
Avantage +0.028%
Kelly +0.037%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.11%25.42%25.39%27.35%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.573.553.9432.26%28.02%28.17%25.38%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aalesund (Local) : 45.65% ; HamKam (Visiteur) : 28.94% ; Match nul : 25.41%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.936. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.940, soit une espérance positive de +0.109%.

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.02%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.87%EV -4.79%E -1.46%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 24.11%EV +0.109%E +0.028%K +0.037%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
Pinnacle🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 46.30%EV -4.58%E -2.19%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 28.37%EV -1.32%E -0.387%K -0.548%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 25.33%EV -2.94%E -0.770%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Coolbet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.14%EV -1.85%E -0.858%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 29.32%EV -4.21%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -3.45%E -0.907%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-29 16:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.67%EV -3.96%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.54%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.82%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-29 16:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-29 16:59
betfred_uk🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.84%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.64%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.51%EV -4.72%E -1.26%K -1.72%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:59
GTbets🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.59%EV -5.50%E -2.66%K -5.14%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 25.37%EV -5.48%E -1.47%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 16:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetOnline.ag🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetAnything🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 16:59
BetUS🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 45.85%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.62%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-29 17:00
DraftKings🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.36%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-29 17:00
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.97%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.19%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.85%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:58
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -11.74%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -5.99%E -1.62%K -2.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Betsson🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.06%E -0.913%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
NordicBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.65%EV -5.04%E -2.42%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -3.06%E -0.913%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.01%EV -7.26%E -1.99%K -2.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 16:59
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -1.61%E -0.474%K -0.671%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-29 16:58
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -4.13%E -1.97%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-29 16:58
Tipico (DE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -10.06%E -5.11%K -10.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-29 16:59
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-29 16:59
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.18%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.29%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 46.03%EV -10.52%E -5.37%K -10.96%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 28.91%EV -9.71%E -3.11%K -4.58%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -8.53%E -2.37%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-29 16:58
Casumo🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.96%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.09%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-29 17:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 45.20%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.98%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 17:00
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 44.91%EV -7.32%E -3.61%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.41%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.68%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-29 16:59
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 45.74%EV -9.61%E -4.85%K -9.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.75%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.51%EV -9.80%E -2.76%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
BetRivers🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:47
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
betPARX🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Svenska Spel🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
ATG (SE)🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.80%EV -5.95%E -2.89%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-29 16:59
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 16:59
Grosvenor🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-29 17:00
SportsBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -4.50%E -1.36%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Paddy Power🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -5.95%E -1.83%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 44.73%EV -10.52%E -5.37%K -10.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -16.08%E -5.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-29 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -12.80%E -6.70%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -11.07%E -3.16%K -4.43%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-29 16:59
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 44.87%EV -6.87%E -3.37%K -6.60%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.60%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.53%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-29 16:59
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 44.91%EV -7.78%E -3.85%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -8.84%E -2.81%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.29%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-29 16:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 45.27%EV -11.43%E -5.89%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.46%EV -12.34%E -3.58%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 16:59
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -6.41%E -3.13%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-29 17:00
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -8.69%E -4.35%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.29%E -3.32%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-29 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 45.81%EV -10.98%E -5.63%K -11.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.92%EV -7.40%E -2.31%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -13.61%E -4.00%K -5.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-29 16:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 44.97%EV -11.43%E -5.89%K -12.16%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.60%EV -11.74%E -3.85%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.43%EV -16.15%E -4.89%K -7.02%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 44.39%EV -12.80%E -6.70%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.26%EV -13.19%E -4.40%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.35%EV -21.23%E -6.85%K -10.11%G +0.000%17.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Matchbook2.12I 47.17%NM 46.74%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.74%0.9%2026-05-29 16:59
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%NM 46.40%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.71%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.89%1.7%2026-05-29 17:00