A Escola das Odds

Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven

Início: 2026-04-11 16:51 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

53 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Previsão 28.05%3.57odd justa
EV +82.31%
Vantagem +12.66%
Kelly +14.97%
Crescimento +12.32%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
14.15%25.33%28.16%28.75%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.923.326.5032.26%25.54%30.12%15.38%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)

Previsão 49.70%2.01odd justa
EV -3.09%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -3.25%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.38%53.30%49.57%69.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.321.761.851.9575.76%56.87%54.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.25%4.49odd justa
EV +27.96%
Vantagem +4.86%
Kelly +5.89%
Crescimento +1.65%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.28%21.37%22.27%24.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.334.205.7529.41%23.08%23.81%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (53 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +27.96%E +4.86%K +5.89%G +1.65%6.8%2026-04-11 16:49
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +16.83%E +3.21%K +3.96%G +0.666%6.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%8.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV +17.94%E +3.39%K +4.17%G +0.749%10.2%2026-04-11 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -32.41%E -23.83%K -90.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%10.2%2026-04-11 16:50
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%10.7%2026-04-11 16:50
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.20%EV +62.68%E +10.81%K +13.06%G +8.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.80%EV -34.40%E -26.06%K -107.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV +9.04%E +1.85%K +2.32%G +0.210%13.4%2026-04-11 16:50
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.88%EV +57.07%E +10.19%K +12.41%G +7.08%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.34%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%12.5%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:49
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:49
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:48
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
1xBet3.49I 28.65%NM 27.78%EV -2.11%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.72%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -4.09%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV -4.53%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:44
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.24%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:46
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:49
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:47
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:44
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:48
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 16:46
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.97%EV -8.55%E -4.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 16:48
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.88%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:48
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:49
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.31%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:49
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:46
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:49
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:44
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:45
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.09%E -0.474%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:49
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.56%E -4.06%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:48
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:49
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:48
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:49
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:44
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:47
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:44
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:49
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:45
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:48
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:48
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:48
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:48
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:48
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.83%EV -12.03%E -6.80%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 16:45
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -14.02%E -8.10%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -24.34%E -7.16%K -10.14%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-11 16:47
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-04-11 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%4.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 15.31%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%11.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%200.0%2026-04-11 16:50