مدرسة الاحتمالات

Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven

البداية: 2026-04-11 16:51 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

53 شركة مراهنات (19 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (المضيف)

التنبؤ 28.05%3.57السعر العادل
EV +82.31%
الأفضلية +12.66%
Kelly +14.97%
النمو +12.32%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
14.15%25.33%28.16%28.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.923.326.5032.26%25.54%30.12%15.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

PSV Eindhoven (الضيف)

التنبؤ 49.70%2.01السعر العادل
EV -3.09%
الأفضلية -1.58%
Kelly -3.25%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.95

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
48.38%53.30%49.57%69.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.321.761.851.9575.76%56.87%54.05%51.28%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.25%4.49السعر العادل
EV +27.96%
الأفضلية +4.86%
Kelly +5.89%
النمو +1.65%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.75

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.28%21.37%22.27%24.62%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.334.205.7529.41%23.08%23.81%17.39%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (53 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
PointsBet (AU)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +27.96%E +4.86%K +5.89%G +1.65%6.8%2026-04-11 16:49
DraftKings6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +16.83%E +3.21%K +3.96%G +0.666%6.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Tipico (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%8.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (SE)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Casumo6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Svenska Spel6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588%7.7%2026-04-11 16:50
Winamax (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV +17.94%E +3.39%K +4.17%G +0.749%10.2%2026-04-11 16:49
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -32.41%E -23.83%K -90.03%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%10.2%2026-04-11 16:50
LeoVegas6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%10.7%2026-04-11 16:50
PMU (FR)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.20%EV +62.68%E +10.81%K +13.06%G +8.18%1.32I 75.76%NM 66.80%EV -34.40%E -26.06%K -107.49%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV +9.04%E +1.85%K +2.32%G +0.210%13.4%2026-04-11 16:50
Winamax (FR)5.60I 17.86%NM 15.88%EV +57.07%E +10.19%K +12.41%G +7.08%1.34I 74.63%NM 66.34%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317%12.5%2026-04-11 16:50
Unibet (NL)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:49
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:49
Unibet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-11 16:48
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
Grosvenor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
1xBet3.49I 28.65%NM 27.78%EV -2.11%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.72%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -4.09%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Pinnacle3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV -4.53%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-11 16:44
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.24%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-11 16:46
Coolbet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-11 16:49
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:47
BetAnything3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-11 16:44
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-11 16:48
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-11 16:46
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 49.97%EV -8.55%E -4.65%K -10.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-11 16:48
William Hill3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:49
Marathon Bet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.88%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:44
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-11 16:48
Coral3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-11 16:49
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.31%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-11 16:49
Codere (IT)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-11 16:46
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-11 16:49
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-11 16:44
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:45
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-11 16:45
Unibet (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.09%E -0.474%K -0.613%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-11 16:49
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.56%E -4.06%K -8.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:48
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:49
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:48
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:49
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-11 16:44
Betclic (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:47
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-11 16:44
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:49
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-11 16:45
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-11 16:48
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-11 16:48
Sky Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-11 16:48
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-11 16:48
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-11 16:48
NetBet (FR)3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.83%EV -12.03%E -6.80%K -15.63%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-11 16:45
Unibet (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-11 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -14.02%E -8.10%K -19.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -24.34%E -7.16%K -10.14%G +0.000%19.5%2026-04-11 16:47
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53%0.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04%0.9%2026-04-11 16:50
Matchbook3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.21%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85%1.7%2026-04-11 16:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13%4.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Kalshi5.88I 17.01%NM 15.31%1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%11.1%2026-04-11 16:50
Smarkets1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33%200.0%2026-04-11 16:50