La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Sparta Rotterdam v PSV Eindhoven
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Sparta Rotterdam (Local)
Predicción 28.05%3.57momio equitativo
EV +82.31%
Ventaja +12.66%
Kelly +14.97%
Crecimiento +12.32%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
14.15%25.33%28.16%28.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.923.326.5032.26%25.54%30.12%15.38%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
PSV Eindhoven (Visitante)
Predicción 49.70%2.01momio equitativo
EV -3.09%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.25%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.95
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.38%53.30%49.57%69.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.321.761.851.9575.76%56.87%54.05%51.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.25%4.49momio equitativo
EV +27.96%
Ventaja +4.86%
Kelly +5.89%
Crecimiento +1.65%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.28%21.37%22.27%24.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.334.205.7529.41%23.08%23.81%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (53 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PointsBet (AU) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.33%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV +27.96%E +4.86%K +5.89%G +1.65% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| DraftKings | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV +16.83%E +3.21%K +3.96%G +0.666% | 6.9% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.15%EV +82.31%E +12.66%K +14.97%G +12.32% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.15%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.69%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Casumo | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV +75.30%E +12.05%K +14.34%G +10.80% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.29%EV -31.42%E -22.76%K -82.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.86%EV +15.72%E +3.02%K +3.74%G +0.588% | 7.7% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.13%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 67.74%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV +17.94%E +3.39%K +4.17%G +0.749% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.12%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.73%EV -32.41%E -23.83%K -90.03%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.15%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| LeoVegas | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.05%EV +68.29%E +11.38%K +13.66%G +9.33% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.89%EV -32.91%E -24.38%K -94.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317% | 10.7% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 15.20%EV +62.68%E +10.81%K +13.06%G +8.18% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 66.80%EV -34.40%E -26.06%K -107.49%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.00%EV +9.04%E +1.85%K +2.32%G +0.210% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.60I 17.86%NM 15.88%EV +57.07%E +10.19%K +12.41%G +7.08% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 66.34%EV -33.40%E -24.93%K -98.25%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.78%EV +11.27%E +2.25%K +2.82%G +0.317% | 12.5% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -0.431%E -0.121%K -0.169%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.52%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.20%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Unibet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.06%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.65%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.29%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Grosvenor | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -1.83%E -0.524%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.47%EV -11.54%E -6.48%K -14.79%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| 1xBet | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.78%EV -2.11%E -0.606%K -0.849%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.72%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.50%EV -4.09%E -0.949%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Pinnacle | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.73%EV -2.67%E -0.771%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.85%EV -4.08%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.43%EV -4.53%E -1.06%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -3.24%E -0.938%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.42%E -1.28%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 16:46 |
| Coolbet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.05%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.93%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.02%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 16:47 |
| BetAnything | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.64%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.72%EV -6.07%E -3.21%K -6.82%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.64%EV -7.65%E -1.84%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| FanDuel | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.85%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.66%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-11 16:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.97%EV -8.55%E -4.65%K -10.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| William Hill | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.96%EV -4.64%E -1.36%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.11%EV -6.88%E -2.07%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.12%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.66%EV -3.09%E -1.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Coral | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.65%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.51%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -3.64%E -0.841%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -4.31%E -1.00%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 16:46 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Everygame | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.31%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.31%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -4.58%E -2.38%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.48%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.22%EV -2.09%E -0.474%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| SportsBet | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.29%EV -7.56%E -4.06%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.92%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| 888sport | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -7.44%E -2.26%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.11%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.65%EV -15.44%E -4.06%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.70%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.09%EV -5.57%E -2.93%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.21%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 16:47 |
| Bet Right | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.36%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.48%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.49%EV -7.06%E -3.78%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.03%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| PlayUp | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -5.08%E -2.66%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.82%EV -6.57%E -3.49%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.94%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.03%EV -9.05%E -4.95%K -10.90%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.80%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Sky Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.64%EV -8.84%E -2.72%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.90%EV -10.54%E -5.86%K -13.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| NordicBet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.54%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -6.54%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| Betsson | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.28%EV -8.06%E -4.36%K -9.48%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.23%EV -8.76%E -2.14%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-11 16:48 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.56%EV -10.25%E -3.20%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 49.83%EV -12.03%E -6.80%K -15.63%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.61%EV -13.21%E -3.39%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-11 16:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -11.65%E -3.70%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -10.04%E -5.55%K -12.40%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -10.99%E -2.75%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 16:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.00%EV -13.05%E -4.21%K -6.22%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 48.38%EV -14.02%E -8.10%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 24.62%EV -24.34%E -7.16%K -10.14%G +0.000% | 19.5% | 2026-04-11 16:47 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.92% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.56% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.53% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.04% | 0.9% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Matchbook | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.94% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.21% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.85% | 1.7% | 2026-04-11 16:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.14% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.13% | 4.1% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Kalshi | 5.88I 17.01%NM 15.31% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 66.68% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |
| Smarkets | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 33.33% | 200.0% | 2026-04-11 16:50 |