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Sparta Rotterdam v FC Zwolle

2026-09-04 18:00 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

26 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Prediction 53.58%1.87fair odd
EV -3.55%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -4.44%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.38%53.54%53.50%54.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.721.731.8061.73%58.05%57.64%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

FC Zwolle (Visit)

Prediction 23.42%4.27fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.394%
Kelly -0.517%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.67%23.42%23.40%24.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.944.004.2027.78%25.38%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV -3.40%
Edge -0.809%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.34%23.04%23.10%24.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.984.004.2027.78%25.10%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 53.58%; FC Zwolle (Visit): 23.42%; Draw: 23.00%. For FC Zwolle (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.20, with an expected value of -1.65%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (26 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.23%EV -3.55%E -1.97%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.81%EV -3.40%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 12:15
1xBet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.95%EV -4.62%E -2.60%K -5.92%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -2.36%E -0.565%K -0.743%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.03%EV -4.09%E -0.981%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 13:05
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.16%E -2.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.17%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 12:35
BetMGM🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.36%EV -5.16%E -2.91%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 12:10
Coolbet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -1.65%E -0.394%K -0.517%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.73%EV -3.40%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.33%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-30 12:10
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -9.85%E -2.56%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.81%EV -11.45%E -2.97%K -4.02%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:15
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:59
William Hill🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.38%EV -6.23%E -3.56%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 53.16%EV -6.76%E -3.89%K -9.14%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.72%EV -8.68%E -2.23%K -2.99%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 12:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.93%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -5.17%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.04%EV -6.85%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 12:59
Betway🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.97%EV -7.30%E -4.22%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -11.02%E -2.90%K -3.94%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.67%EV -7.84%E -4.56%K -10.88%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.94%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -3.40%E -0.809%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 12:10
SportsBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:10
FanDuel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.37%E -4.90%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 12:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -3.99%E -0.974%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.67%EV -5.70%E -1.39%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-30 12:40
betfred_uk🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -8.91%E -5.24%K -12.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.18%EV -9.98%E -5.94%K -14.68%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.48%EV -14.53%E -3.98%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.34%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -10.51%E -6.30%K -15.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -6.34%E -1.58%K -2.11%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.00%E -2.00%K -2.67%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 53.00%EV -11.05%E -6.66%K -16.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.44%EV -15.70%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.56%EV -10.30%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-30 12:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.03%EV -11.59%E -7.02%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 23.28%EV -10.32%E -2.69%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.69%EV -9.61%E -2.45%K -3.28%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 12:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.19%EV -11.59%E -7.02%K -17.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.72%EV -13.36%E -3.61%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.09%EV -12.60%E -3.32%K -4.50%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 52.63%EV -13.19%E -8.14%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -15.70%E -4.36%K -6.04%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.68%EV -17.20%E -4.78%K -6.62%G +0.000%17.3%2026-08-30 12:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.79I 55.87%NM 53.81%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.10%3.8%2026-08-30 12:55
Smarkets◎1.68I 59.52%NM 52.74%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%12.9%2026-08-30 12:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 32.93%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.54%176.1%2026-08-30 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.75%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%1.08I 92.59%NM 33.13%179.5%2026-08-30 13:00