Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sparta Rotterdam v FC Zwolle

Início: 2026-09-04 18:00 UTC

Final: Sparta Rotterdam 2–2 FC Zwolle

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sparta Rotterdam (Local)

Previsão 48.72%2.05odd justa
EV -2.57%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.45%48.70%48.71%50.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.45%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

FC Zwolle (Visitante)

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV +2.43%
Vantagem +0.624%
Kelly +0.839%
Crescimento +0.020%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.79%26.33%26.22%27.72%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.563.603.9030.30%28.08%27.78%25.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.02%4.00odd justa
EV +0.070%
Vantagem +0.017%
Kelly +0.023%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.70%24.97%25.07%25.89%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.703.704.0028.57%27.03%27.03%25.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sparta Rotterdam (Local): 48.72%; FC Zwolle (Visitante): 26.27%; Empate: 25.02%. Para FC Zwolle (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.90, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.43%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.97%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +2.43%E +0.624%K +0.839%G +0.020%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 13:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.97%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.86%EV +2.43%E +0.624%K +0.839%G +0.020%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.18%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.2%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 50.10%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.79%EV +2.43%E +0.624%K +0.839%G +0.020%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.11%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.97%EV -7.92%E -4.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV -0.192%E -0.051%K -0.069%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.18%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-04 13:30
1xBet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.96%EV -4.51%E -2.30%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.73I 26.81%NM 25.73%EV -2.03%E -0.544%K -0.744%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.32%EV -5.18%E -1.37%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-04 13:15
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.85%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.40%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 08:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.11%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.62%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.06%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.64%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 12:35
Casumo🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:30
betPARX🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.43%EV -8.41%E -4.47%K -9.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.11%EV -2.82%E -0.762%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.46%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-04 13:30
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.37%EV -2.57%E -1.28%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.50%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.13%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-04 14:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.77%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.79%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 08:45
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.90%E -4.76%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -4.13%E -1.13%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -9.94%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.78%EV -4.92%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.36%EV -7.94%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 13:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:10
BetAnything🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.73%EV -3.68%E -0.957%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-04 14:14
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.63%EV -5.49%E -2.83%K -5.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-04 14:30
FanDuel🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.76%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.14%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 08:55
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 13:10
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.18%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.72%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-04 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 08:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.86%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.05%EV -7.92%E -4.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.75%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.19%EV -7.94%E -2.16%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 12:34
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.14%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.61%EV -11.19%E -3.15%K -4.39%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 13:30
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-04 08:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 13:30
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -5.45%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 13:30
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:29
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.61%EV -3.54%E -1.79%K -3.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.56%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.83%EV -8.69%E -2.38%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 12:30
Virgin Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:30
LiveScore Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.06%EV -10.85%E -5.93%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.29%EV -6.76%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-04 13:30
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.91%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.25%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +0.070%E +0.017%K +0.023%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-04 08:40
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-04 14:25
Bovada🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:23
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:25
Paddy Power🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.29%EV -7.44%E -3.91%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.22%EV -8.07%E -2.31%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.94%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-04 14:29
Winamax (DE)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.98%EV -9.39%E -5.05%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -9.39%E -2.72%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.62%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-04 08:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.43%E -0.624%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-04 11:29
betano_uk🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.43%E -0.624%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:18
Bet Victor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -2.43%E -0.624%K -0.839%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-04 14:18
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.00%E -2.56%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.93%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-09-04 14:35
PlayUp🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.86%EV -5.98%E -3.10%K -6.43%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.17%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.97%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-04 12:30
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 13:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 13:25
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 13:25
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.45%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.66%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%10.3%2026-09-04 13:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.73%EV -10.36%E -5.63%K -12.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.90%EV -9.94%E -2.76%K -3.82%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 08:35
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:30
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.25%EV -9.87%E -5.34%K -11.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -10.70%E -3.15%K -4.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -12.44%E -3.55%K -4.98%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-04 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.09%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.42%EV -12.01%E -3.59%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.49%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-04 14:35
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -6.95%E -3.64%K -7.64%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-04 14:35
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.37%EV -12.31%E -6.84%K -15.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -13.32%E -4.04%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.70%EV -6.18%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-04 08:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-04 14:30
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.95%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.02%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.03%1.1%2026-09-04 14:25
Kalshi◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.04%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.48%1.9%2026-09-04 14:30
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.87%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.07%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.06%2.3%2026-09-04 14:25