Школа коэффициентов

Sparta Rotterdam v Excelsior

Начало: 2026-05-17 12:30 UTC

Итог: Sparta Rotterdam 2–3 Excelsior

Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →

Победитель встречи

57 букмекерских контор (21 в анализе )

Оценка вероятности каждого исхода по модели: IQM

Sparta Rotterdam (Хозяева)

Прогноз 48.49%2.06справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.591%
Преимущество -0.288%
Kelly -0.562%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 2.05

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
46.44%48.41%48.45%49.96%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
1.811.931.932.0555.25%51.80%51.81%48.78%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Excelsior (Гости)

Прогноз 27.36%3.65справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.22%
Преимущество -0.337%
Kelly -0.467%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 3.61

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
26.53%27.49%27.36%28.80%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.103.333.353.6132.26%30.00%29.85%27.70%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Ничья

Прогноз 24.14%4.14справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.01%
Преимущество -0.246%
Kelly -0.326%
Рост +0.000%

при максимальном коэффициенте 4.10

Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
23.02%24.10%24.19%26.15%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX
Распределение коэффициентов
3.253.823.834.1030.77%26.17%26.11%24.39%MINСРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАMAX

Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (57 букмекерских контор)

Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.

Букмекерская контораХозяева ▼ГостиНичьяМаржаОбновлено
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.75%EV -0.591%E -0.288%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.37%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.75%EV -0.591%E -0.288%K -0.562%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.37%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.88%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 47.87%EV -1.08%E -0.527%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.31%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.82%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.48%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.78%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-17 07:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -3.02%E -1.51%K -3.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-17 08:05
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.54%EV -3.99%E -2.01%K -4.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-17 08:05
1xBet1.97I 50.76%NM 48.76%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -2.59%E -0.726%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.26%EV -4.39%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 08:16
Unibet (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Casumo1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:30
betPARX1.97I 50.76%NM 47.07%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.40%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Unibet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.92%EV -4.47%E -2.27%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.44%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.65%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Codere (IT)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.14%EV -4.95%E -2.53%K -5.16%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.35%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 49.32%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.64%EV -1.22%E -0.337%K -0.467%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.04%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-17 08:16
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.86%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 08:20
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.89%EV -2.86%E -0.805%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.16%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-17 08:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.42%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 08:05
FanDuel1.95I 51.28%NM 48.39%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.02%EV -1.01%E -0.246%K -0.326%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 07:30
PointsBet (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.62%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.81%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-17 07:30
betfred_uk1.95I 51.28%NM 46.96%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.42%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-17 07:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.44%E -2.79%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 07:50
LowVig.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:20
BetOnline.ag1.94I 51.55%NM 48.40%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.39%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Bet Right1.94I 51.55%NM 47.39%EV -5.92%E -3.05%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.73%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.88%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-17 07:30
Bet Victor1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.52%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 08:04
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 47.83%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.56%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.62%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-17 08:00
BetRivers1.93I 51.81%NM 46.85%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.44%EV -10.67%E -2.88%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 07:30
Grosvenor1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:30
TABtouch1.93I 51.81%NM 46.70%EV -6.41%E -3.32%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.61%EV -13.80%E -4.38%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.69%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Bovada1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:08
BetUS1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
BetAnything1.92I 52.08%NM 49.00%EV -6.89%E -3.59%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 49.04%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-17 08:10
Marathon Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 48.83%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.95%EV -5.32%E -1.54%K -2.16%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-17 08:10
Everygame1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -5.60%E -1.62%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -7.05%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 07:59
Betway1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-17 08:00
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 07:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:20
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:20
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.96%E -2.05%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-17 08:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Virgin Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:30
LiveScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:30
LeoVegas1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -7.38%E -3.86%K -8.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.46%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-17 07:30
Betclic (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.08%EV -6.42%E -1.88%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.18%EV -7.53%E -1.97%K -2.66%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 08:04
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.55%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.38%EV -11.07%E -3.41%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.06%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-17 07:30
Winamax (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.47%EV -7.86%E -4.14%K -8.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.70%E -2.94%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.62%EV -5.84%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 08:05
PMU (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 46.98%EV -8.83%E -4.70%K -10.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.49%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.53%EV -13.08%E -3.63%K -5.03%G +0.000%13.2%2026-05-17 07:30
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.96%EV -9.32%E -4.98%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -4.23%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -3.42%E -0.856%K -1.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 08:10
Unibet (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.75%EV -9.80%E -5.27%K -11.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 08:05
Sky Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 47.84%EV -10.29%E -5.56%K -12.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.55%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.60%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 07:30
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 48.55%EV -11.26%E -6.15%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.76%EV -12.44%E -3.89%K -5.65%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.69%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.44%EV -11.26%E -6.15%K -13.56%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.41%EV -15.17%E -4.89%K -7.23%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.15%EV -21.53%E -6.63%K -9.57%G +0.000%17.7%2026-05-17 07:30
NetBet (FR)1.81I 55.25%NM 49.11%EV -12.23%E -6.76%K -15.10%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.53%EV -8.33%E -2.49%K -3.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.35%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%12.5%2026-05-17 08:10
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала

Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.

Биржи ставок (6)

Букмекерская контораХозяеваГостиНичьяМаржа ▲Обновлено
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.97%0.0%2026-05-17 07:45
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.48%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.39%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.14%1.1%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 49.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.32%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.08%1.3%2026-05-17 08:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.65%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.05%1.4%2026-05-17 08:10
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-17 08:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 49.01%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.50%2.0%2026-05-17 08:11