Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.15
assuming max odds 3.49
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Telstar (Local): 46.13%; Sparta Rotterdam (Visit): 28.64%; Draw: 25.23%. For Sparta Rotterdam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.492. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.490, with an expected value of -0.049%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -0.811%E -0.377%K -0.705%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.42%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%EV -1.19%E -0.346%K -0.488%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-22 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-22 17:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.98%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -1.48%E -0.431%K -0.607%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -1.87%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.80%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -1.62%E -0.415%K -0.558%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.89%E -2.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.89%E -2.89%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -8.68%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.62%EV -7.27%E -3.62%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.62%EV -7.27%E -3.62%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-22 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:35 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 44.41%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -16.37%E -5.61%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-22 17:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-22 17:33 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-22 17:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -15.51%E -5.26%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-04-22 17:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-22 17:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-22 17:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-22 17:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -15.57%E -8.51%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -19.28%E -6.02%K -8.76%G +0.000% | 18.2% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12% | 0.8% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02% | 1.2% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15% | 2.0% | 2026-04-22 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 3.1% | 2026-04-22 17:49 |