L’École des cotes

SC Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-22 18:00 UTC

Score final : SC Telstar 4–1 Sparta Rotterdam

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Prévision 46.13%2.17cote équitable
EV -0.811%
Avantage -0.377%
Kelly -0.705%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.26%46.08%46.22%47.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.832.012.002.1554.64%49.66%50.00%46.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sparta Rotterdam (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.64%3.49cote équitable
EV -0.049%
Avantage -0.014%
Kelly -0.020%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.30%28.73%28.51%30.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.923.263.303.4934.25%30.65%30.30%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.23%3.96cote équitable
EV -1.62%
Avantage -0.415%
Kelly -0.558%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.96%25.20%25.27%26.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.683.703.9031.25%27.16%27.03%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 44.26%EV -0.811%E -0.377%K -0.705%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.70%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.42%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.26%EV -1.19%E -0.346%K -0.488%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.32%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%2.6%2026-04-22 17:39
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:39
Svenska Spel2.10I 47.62%NM 46.23%EV -3.12%E -1.48%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.55%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.22%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-22 17:39
Coolbet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.87%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -2.88%E -0.748%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-22 17:34
NordicBet2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:20
Betsson2.08I 48.08%NM 45.81%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.44%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 17:20
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.36%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.16%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-22 17:24
Codere (IT)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.20%EV -4.04%E -1.94%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.38%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:30
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 46.98%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 28.14%EV -1.48%E -0.431%K -0.607%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.88%EV -1.87%E -0.481%K -0.647%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-22 17:49
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 46.21%EV -4.96%E -2.41%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.41%EV -4.06%E -1.21%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.38%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-22 17:39
1xBet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.33%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.80%EV -0.049%E -0.014%K -0.020%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.88%EV -1.62%E -0.415%K -0.558%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-22 17:55
Coral2.05I 48.78%NM 46.36%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.95%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.69%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:39
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.13%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.66%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.22%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-22 17:39
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:34
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.62%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.88%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -5.42%E -2.65%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:35
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.89%E -2.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:40
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 46.09%EV -5.89%E -2.89%K -5.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.49%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.41%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 17:39
Marathon Bet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.96%EV -6.35%E -3.13%K -6.16%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.27%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.77%EV -8.68%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-22 17:34
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 46.34%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.36%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.30%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 17:40
Grosvenor2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 45.98%EV -6.81%E -3.37%K -6.67%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.58%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:39
Bovada2.01I 49.75%NM 46.62%EV -7.27%E -3.62%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:39
BetUS2.01I 49.75%NM 46.62%EV -7.27%E -3.62%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.39%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-22 17:45
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-22 17:55
FanDuel2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:54
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:55
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:50
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:50
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-22 17:49
Everygame2.00I 50.00%NM 46.74%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.33%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.93%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:44
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.26%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.70%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-22 17:49
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:39
PlayUp2.00I 50.00%NM 46.23%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -6.92%E -2.13%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.33%EV -7.92%E -2.17%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 17:34
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 45.90%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.48%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 17:34
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -12.65%E -4.15%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.61%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:24
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:40
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:40
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:39
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:39
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.73%E -3.87%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 17:35
NetBet (FR)1.98I 50.51%NM 44.41%EV -8.65%E -4.37%K -8.83%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 30.11%EV -16.37%E -5.61%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.48%EV -12.97%E -3.76%K -5.29%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-22 17:34
Virgin Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 46.24%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-22 17:39
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.12%EV -9.11%E -4.63%K -9.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.85%EV -9.79%E -3.11%K -4.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -8.43%E -2.32%K -3.20%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-22 17:33
PMU (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.36%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-22 17:40
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.96%EV -9.58%E -4.89%K -9.98%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.87%EV -15.51%E -5.26%K -7.96%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.18%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-22 17:30
Tipico (DE)1.95I 51.28%NM 47.92%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.49%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.59%EV -4.14%E -1.09%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-22 17:44
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.61%EV -10.04%E -5.15%K -10.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -2.63%E -0.773%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.09%EV -6.66%E -1.80%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-22 17:54
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -5.49%E -1.66%K -2.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -9.19%E -2.55%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-22 17:55
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 47.05%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.99%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -5.40%E -1.44%K -1.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-22 17:34
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 46.67%EV -11.88%E -6.22%K -13.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -8.35%E -2.61%K -3.80%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.47%EV -11.71%E -3.35%K -4.68%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.25%EV -15.57%E -8.51%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.30%EV -11.22%E -3.62%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.45%EV -19.28%E -6.02%K -8.76%G +0.000%18.2%2026-04-22 17:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.08I 48.08%NM 47.70%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.12%0.8%2026-04-22 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-04-22 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.52%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.46%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.02%1.2%2026-04-22 17:49
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.61%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.24%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.15%2.0%2026-04-22 17:55
Kalshi2.08I 48.08%NM 46.63%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.13%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%3.1%2026-04-22 17:49