A Escola das Odds

SC Telstar v NAC Breda

Início: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Previsão 36.47%2.74odd justa
EV -2.98%
Vantagem -1.12%
Kelly -1.80%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.66

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.65%36.51%36.47%37.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.302.542.552.6643.48%39.31%39.22%37.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

NAC Breda (Visitante)

Previsão 37.10%2.70odd justa
EV +0.162%
Vantagem +0.060%
Kelly +0.095%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
36.02%37.04%37.19%38.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.252.522.552.7044.44%39.64%39.22%37.04%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.43%3.78odd justa
EV +2.81%
Vantagem +0.723%
Kelly +0.973%
Crescimento +0.027%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.89

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.92%26.45%26.34%27.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.523.553.8932.26%28.43%28.17%25.71%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargemAtualização
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.17%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.94%EV +2.81%E +0.723%K +0.973%G +0.027%3.1%2026-02-27 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 18:44
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -3.53%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -3.53%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 18:39
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 17:19
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.90%E -2.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:54
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.90%E -2.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.71%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -2.44%E -0.926%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.27%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 18:51
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.63%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 17:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:54
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -9.55%E -3.85%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:19
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 10:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:54
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.61%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 18:43
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 18:37
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.11%E -7.00%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -16.53%E -7.35%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-02-27 18:54