La escuela de los momios

SC Telstar v NAC Breda

Inicio: 2026-02-27 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Predicción 36.47%2.74momio equitativo
EV -2.98%
Ventaja -1.12%
Kelly -1.80%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.65%36.51%36.47%37.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.542.552.6643.48%39.31%39.22%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

NAC Breda (Visitante)

Predicción 37.10%2.70momio equitativo
EV +0.162%
Ventaja +0.060%
Kelly +0.095%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.02%37.04%37.19%38.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.522.552.7044.44%39.64%39.22%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.43%3.78momio equitativo
EV +2.81%
Ventaja +0.723%
Kelly +0.973%
Crecimiento +0.027%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.89

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.92%26.45%26.34%27.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.523.553.8932.26%28.43%28.17%25.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpate ▼MargenActualizado
1xBet2.61I 38.31%NM 37.17%EV -4.80%E -1.84%K -2.98%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.89%EV -5.03%E -1.97%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.94%EV +2.81%E +0.723%K +0.973%G +0.027%3.1%2026-02-27 18:55
Unibet (NL)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.25%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.47%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%2.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Pinnacle2.66I 37.59%NM 36.42%EV -2.98%E -1.12%K -1.80%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.40%EV -3.92%E -1.51%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.18%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-27 18:44
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.73%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.45%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.81%EV -2.21%E -0.597%K -0.819%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-27 18:39
ATG (SE)2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -3.53%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Svenska Spel2.63I 38.02%NM 37.11%EV -4.07%E -1.55%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.15%EV +0.162%E +0.060%K +0.095%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.74%EV -3.53%E -0.968%K -1.33%G +0.000%2.5%2026-02-27 18:39
LowVig.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 17:19
BetOnline.ag2.60I 38.46%NM 36.99%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.29%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.72%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-27 17:19
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.47%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.34%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-27 18:39
BetUS2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.90%E -2.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:54
BetAnything2.58I 38.76%NM 36.49%EV -5.90%E -2.29%K -3.73%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.36%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:54
Fanatics2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 15:24
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Coral2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Everygame2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.39%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.96%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
BoyleSports2.40I 41.67%NM 37.38%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.70%EV -11.71%E -4.92%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.92%EV -4.85%E -1.35%K -1.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Betsson2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:39
NordicBet2.62I 38.17%NM 36.32%EV -4.44%E -1.69%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.88%EV -4.29%E -1.66%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-27 18:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.07%EV -2.44%E -0.926%K -1.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.72%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-27 18:39
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.34%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.05%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-27 18:39
Bovada2.59I 38.61%NM 36.27%EV -5.53%E -2.14%K -3.48%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.27%EV -6.52%E -2.59%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-27 18:51
Marathon Bet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.43%EV -6.63%E -2.59%K -4.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.27%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.89%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -10.97%E -4.57%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.46%EV -6.18%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-27 18:39
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.71%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.02%EV -1.69%E -0.639%K -1.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-27 17:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 36.91%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -3.55%E -1.36%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.89%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.70%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:54
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.37%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Grosvenor2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
TABtouch2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 18:39
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.11%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.58%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-27 18:39
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:54
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:54
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.50%E -2.14%K -3.00%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-27 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -9.55%E -3.85%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 18:39
Fliff2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.40%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.8%2026-02-27 18:40
Betclic (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.45%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.86%EV -8.82%E -2.56%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Tipico (DE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.62%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-27 18:39
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 17:19
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.99%E -2.74%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -5.40%E -2.12%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-27 10:34
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.65%EV -5.17%E -1.99%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-27 18:39
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:54
Virgin Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:40
LiveScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.26%E -2.90%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Parions Sport (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.73%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.01%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.27%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-27 18:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.67%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.45%EV -12.82%E -5.46%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.88%EV -10.14%E -2.98%K -4.22%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-27 18:39
NetBet (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.35%EV -12.46%E -5.19%K -8.90%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 37.61%EV -13.94%E -6.01%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.04%EV -11.46%E -3.42%K -4.88%G +0.000%14.6%2026-02-27 18:43
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -8.82%E -3.53%K -5.88%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.73%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -12.78%E -3.87%K -5.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-27 18:37
Sky Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -10.64%E -4.34%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.31%EV -9.11%E -3.72%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -14.10%E -4.34%K -6.27%G +0.000%12.4%2026-02-27 18:39
PMU (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 36.18%EV -16.11%E -7.00%K -12.39%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 36.98%EV -16.53%E -7.35%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 26.84%EV -18.07%E -5.83%K -8.60%G +0.000%20.2%2026-02-27 18:39
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook2.74I 36.50%NM 36.29%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.83%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-02-27 18:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.72I 36.76%NM 36.46%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.73%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.8%2026-02-27 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.63%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-02-27 18:54
Smarkets2.70I 37.04%NM 36.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.81%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.66%1.4%2026-02-27 18:54