L’École des cotes

SC Telstar v Groningen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Prévision 35.83%2.79cote équitable
EV -1.47%
Avantage -0.534%
Kelly -0.839%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.17%35.84%35.81%36.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.48%38.46%36.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Groningen (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.43%2.60cote équitable
EV -0.086%
Avantage -0.033%
Kelly -0.054%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.70%38.42%38.47%39.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.422.412.6044.44%41.29%41.49%38.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.74%3.88cote équitable
EV -2.18%
Avantage -0.574%
Kelly -0.779%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.99%25.75%25.72%28.13%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.603.603.8033.33%27.81%27.78%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.47%E -0.534%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 16:39
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.47%EV -1.83%E -0.667%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.26%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.47%EV -1.83%E -0.667%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.26%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:20
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.86%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -4.24%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 16:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:39
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:40
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:34
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:35
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.30%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -0.086%E -0.033%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:39
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 35.23%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -8.16%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:29
BetAnything2.67I 37.45%NM 35.23%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -8.16%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 16:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 12:30
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.68%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.61%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:38
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 12:30
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.04%EV -5.08%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:35
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:40
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:34
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 15:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 05:55
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:14
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:40
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.41%EV -9.71%E -3.85%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -12.77%E -5.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -9.13%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 16:18
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:24
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:24
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 16:13
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 15:34
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.29%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 15:34
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.01%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.67%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.01%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.77%E -7.59%K -11.39%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 14:58
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-04-04 16:15