La escuela de los momios

SC Telstar v Groningen

Inicio: 2026-04-04 16:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

SC Telstar (Local)

Predicción 35.83%2.79momio equitativo
EV -1.47%
Ventaja -0.534%
Kelly -0.839%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.17%35.84%35.81%36.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.402.602.602.7541.67%38.48%38.46%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Groningen (Visitante)

Predicción 38.43%2.60momio equitativo
EV -0.086%
Ventaja -0.033%
Kelly -0.054%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.70%38.42%38.47%39.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.422.412.6044.44%41.29%41.49%38.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.74%3.88momio equitativo
EV -2.18%
Ventaja -0.574%
Kelly -0.779%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.99%25.75%25.72%28.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.603.603.8033.33%27.81%27.78%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 35.41%EV -1.47%E -0.534%K -0.839%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.96%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.63%EV -2.18%E -0.574%K -0.779%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 16:39
LowVig.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.47%EV -1.83%E -0.667%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.26%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:14
BetOnline.ag2.74I 36.50%NM 35.47%EV -1.83%E -0.667%K -1.05%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.26%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.27%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%2.9%2026-04-04 16:20
Pinnacle2.70I 37.04%NM 35.86%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 38.12%EV -2.39%E -0.942%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.72I 26.88%NM 26.03%EV -4.24%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-04 16:20
ATG (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:39
Svenska Spel2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -3.26%E -1.21%K -1.92%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-04 16:40
NordicBet2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:34
Betsson2.68I 37.31%NM 35.48%EV -3.98%E -1.48%K -2.37%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.73%EV -3.16%E -1.25%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.79%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-04 16:35
1xBet2.67I 37.45%NM 36.30%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.28%EV -0.086%E -0.033%K -0.054%G +0.000%3.67I 27.25%NM 26.41%EV -5.53%E -1.51%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.2%2026-04-04 16:39
BetUS2.67I 37.45%NM 35.23%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -8.16%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:29
BetAnything2.67I 37.45%NM 35.23%EV -4.33%E -1.62%K -2.60%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.35%EV -8.16%E -3.41%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 12:30
Coolbet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.86%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.79%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-01 00:05
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-04 16:40
BetMGM2.65I 37.74%NM 35.74%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.66%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.60%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-02 12:30
Unibet2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.52%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Casumo2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
betPARX2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.78%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 16:40
Fanatics2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 08:50
Tipico (DE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -5.05%E -1.91%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 16:14
BetRivers2.63I 38.02%NM 35.68%EV -5.77%E -2.19%K -3.54%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.61%EV -6.62%E -2.72%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 16:38
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 12:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 36.00%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-02 12:30
Bovada2.62I 38.17%NM 35.86%EV -6.13%E -2.34%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.04%EV -5.08%E -2.06%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.10%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 16:35
Marathon Bet2.61I 38.31%NM 35.72%EV -6.48%E -2.48%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.53%EV -7.00%E -2.89%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 25.75%EV -6.81%E -1.88%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 16:30
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.05%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.37%EV -3.47%E -0.925%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 16:40
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.22%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.98%EV -4.70%E -1.89%K -3.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.80%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:34
Unibet (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.20%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.65%EV -3.93%E -1.57%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-04 15:34
DraftKings2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 15:19
FanDuel2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:15
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-04 16:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
PointsBet (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.89%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.76%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-01 22:10
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -6.04%E -1.66%K -2.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-04 05:55
SportsBet2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:14
PlayUp2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -5.85%E -2.39%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 16:09
Betway2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 15:09
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:40
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.61%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -6.84%E -2.63%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.67%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.93%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-04 16:39
PMU (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:40
Virgin Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:39
LiveScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -8.63%E -3.39%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.71%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-04 16:39
Betclic (FR)2.52I 39.68%NM 35.41%EV -9.71%E -3.85%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.31%EV -12.77%E -5.62%K -10.05%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 25.28%EV -9.13%E -2.59%K -3.61%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-04 16:18
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:25
Mr Green (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:25
888sport (SE)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:24
William Hill2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -7.77%E -3.24%K -5.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 23:24
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-04 16:13
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 35.70%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.80%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -9.90%E -2.83%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-04 16:30
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.54%E -3.59%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -15.05%E -4.56%K -6.54%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-04 16:14
Unibet (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 35.26%EV -10.43%E -4.17%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.18%EV -13.54%E -6.02%K -10.83%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -11.19%E -3.24%K -4.57%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-04 16:19
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.72%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -9.69%E -4.12%K -7.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.99%EV -7.33%E -2.04%K -2.82%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-04 15:34
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.29%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.66%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -8.62%E -2.43%K -3.38%G +0.000%12.5%2026-04-04 15:34
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.01%EV -12.22%E -4.99%K -8.43%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 38.03%EV -10.85%E -4.67%K -8.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.95%EV -12.48%E -3.67%K -5.20%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-04 16:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.17%EV -14.01%E -5.84%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.70%EV -11.61%E -5.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.13%EV -22.77%E -7.59%K -11.39%G +0.000%18.5%2026-04-04 14:58
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:35
Matchbook2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-04-04 16:40
Smarkets2.74I 36.50%NM 36.04%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.98%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.98%1.3%2026-04-04 16:00
Kalshi2.70I 37.04%NM 36.28%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.27%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.45%2.1%2026-04-04 16:15