The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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SC Telstar v Ajax

2026-08-30 14:45 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

14 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Telstar (Local)

Prediction 25.40%3.94fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.76

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.19%25.41%25.34%26.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.603.7630.77%28.15%27.78%26.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ajax (Visit)

Prediction 49.78%2.01fair odd
EV -3.93%
Edge -2.04%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.08%49.93%49.79%50.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.831.831.9357.14%54.71%54.64%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -0.816%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.89%24.67%24.87%24.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.723.753.9028.57%26.90%26.67%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SC Telstar (Local): 25.40%; Ajax (Visit): 49.78%; Draw: 24.83%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.90, with an expected value of -3.18%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (14 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.76I 26.60%NM 25.51%EV -4.50%E -1.20%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.70%EV -3.93%E -2.04%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.79%EV -3.93%E -1.01%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-21 10:35
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.33%EV -4.76%E -1.27%K -1.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.43%E -2.86%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.67%EV -4.42%E -1.15%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-21 10:30
Betr (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.53%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-21 10:34
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.65%EV -7.91%E -4.28%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.03%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-21 10:29
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.77%EV -6.42%E -3.42%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-21 10:30
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -6.03%E -1.63%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.92%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.89%EV -3.18%E -0.816%K -1.10%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-21 10:34
Codere (IT)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.39%EV -6.92%E -3.70%K -7.95%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.96%EV -8.15%E -2.20%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-21 10:30
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.25%EV -8.57%E -2.38%K -3.29%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.51%EV -10.40%E -5.78%K -13.00%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-21 10:35
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -11.10%E -3.17%K -4.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -8.91%E -4.87%K -10.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -6.90%E -1.84%K -2.51%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-21 10:34
Betclic (FR)🎯3.43I 29.15%NM 25.58%EV -12.88%E -3.76%K -5.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.57%EV -11.90%E -6.72%K -15.45%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 24.85%EV -12.37%E -3.50%K -4.89%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-21 10:34
Unibet (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 25.62%EV -13.64%E -4.01%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.49%EV -12.39%E -7.04%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.89%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-21 10:34
Winamax (DE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 26.23%EV -14.91%E -4.45%K -6.35%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 49.36%EV -11.40%E -6.40%K -14.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.41%EV -10.63%E -2.95%K -4.09%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-21 10:34
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.12%EV -16.18%E -4.90%K -7.04%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.25%EV -12.89%E -7.37%K -17.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.63%EV -13.11%E -3.75%K -5.24%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-21 10:34
Winamax (FR)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.58%EV -17.45%E -5.37%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 49.08%EV -12.39%E -7.04%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.33%EV -11.87%E -3.34%K -4.65%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-21 10:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎3.30I 30.30%NM 25.98%1.77I 56.50%NM 48.43%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.59%16.7%2026-08-21 10:35

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