Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Telstar v Ajax

Início: 2026-08-30 14:45 UTC

Final: SC Telstar 0–4 Ajax

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

SC Telstar (Local)

Previsão 17.04%5.87odd justa
EV +3.96%
Vantagem +0.650%
Kelly +0.777%
Crescimento +0.031%

pressupondo odds máximas de 6.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
15.84%17.14%17.09%19.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.505.525.506.1022.22%18.13%18.18%16.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Ajax (Visitante)

Previsão 63.24%1.58odd justa
EV -3.87%
Vantagem -2.55%
Kelly -7.44%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
60.98%63.10%63.23%65.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.401.461.471.5271.43%68.38%68.03%65.79%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 19.71%5.07odd justa
EV +3.50%
Vantagem +0.667%
Kelly +0.823%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.41%19.76%19.68%21.74%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.204.724.755.2523.81%21.17%21.05%19.05%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: SC Telstar (Local): 17.04%; Ajax (Visitante): 63.24%; Empate: 19.71%. Para SC Telstar (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.87. 12 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 6.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.96%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Svenska Spel🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.96%E +0.650%K +0.777%G +0.031%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +3.50%E +0.667%K +0.823%G +0.029%3.0%2026-08-30 14:35
ATG (SE)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.91%EV +3.96%E +0.650%K +0.777%G +0.031%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.59%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.49%EV +3.50%E +0.667%K +0.823%G +0.029%3.0%2026-08-30 14:35
Unibet (NL)🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.84%EV +3.96%E +0.650%K +0.777%G +0.031%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.75%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV +3.50%E +0.667%K +0.823%G +0.029%3.5%2026-08-30 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV +2.26%E +0.376%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.67%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.48%EV -3.79%E -0.778%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV +2.26%E +0.376%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.67%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.48%EV -3.79%E -0.778%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:25
BetAnything🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV +2.26%E +0.376%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.67%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.48%EV -3.79%E -0.778%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:30
BetUS🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.84%EV +2.26%E +0.376%K +0.452%G +0.010%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.67%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.88I 20.49%NM 19.48%EV -3.79%E -0.778%K -0.978%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 14:30
NordicBet🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.03%EV +0.554%E +0.094%K +0.113%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -3.87%E -2.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Betsson🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.03%EV +0.554%E +0.094%K +0.113%G +0.001%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.23%EV -3.87%E -2.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.74%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:40
FanDuel🎯5.90I 16.95%NM 16.02%EV +0.554%E +0.094%K +0.113%G +0.001%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.11%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-30 14:39
1xBet🎯5.88I 17.01%NM 16.45%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.62%EV -3.87%E -2.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.94%EV -4.39%E -0.904%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-30 14:40
Pinnacle🎯5.88I 17.01%NM 16.40%EV +0.213%E +0.036%K +0.044%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46%EV -3.87%E -2.55%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.79I 20.88%NM 20.14%EV -5.57%E -1.16%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Grosvenor🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.22%EV -1.15%E -0.198%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.33%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV +0.543%E +0.106%K +0.132%G +0.001%6.3%2026-08-30 14:35
SportsBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.18%EV -1.15%E -0.198%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.42%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.11%EV -1.15%E -0.198%K -0.240%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.57%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-30 14:40
betano_uk🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.71%EV -2.00%E -0.348%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.357%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-30 14:39
Bet Victor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.58%EV -2.00%E -0.348%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.56%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.86%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 14:33
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -2.00%E -0.348%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.69%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:35
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -2.00%E -0.348%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.69%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:35
betPARX🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.14%EV -2.00%E -0.348%K -0.422%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.91%EV -9.56%E -6.69%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.94%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-30 14:35
Bovada🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -4.56%E -0.814%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -5.77%E -3.87%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.20%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:23
Unibet🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.51%EV -4.56%E -0.814%K -0.991%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.22%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.27%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-30 14:35
Coral🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:40
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.20%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.08%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.71%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:20
Fanatics🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 14:05
DraftKings🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.82%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.05%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 14:25
Betway🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-30 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.95%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.42%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-30 14:15
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.82%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.32%EV -14.24%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 14:40
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.50%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.88%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 14:15
BetRivers🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.93%EV -9.56%E -6.69%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.45%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-30 14:30
Paddy Power🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -6.26%E -1.14%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-30 14:40
Marathon Bet🎯5.45I 18.35%NM 17.11%EV -7.12%E -1.31%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.45%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.43%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-30 14:40
Codere (IT)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.45%EV -6.40%E -4.32%K -13.33%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -3.40%E -0.694%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:35
PMU (FR)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -10.20%E -7.18%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:35
TABtouch🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.80%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.89%EV -10.20%E -7.18%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.30%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-30 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -11.46%E -8.19%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:35
LiveScore Bet🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -11.46%E -8.19%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 16.58%EV -7.97%E -1.48%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.95%EV -11.46%E -8.19%K -28.65%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.46%EV -9.31%E -2.02%K -2.59%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-30 14:30
Unibet (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -10.52%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.06%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.92%EV -1.43%E -0.286%K -0.357%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-30 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -10.52%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.57%EV -5.14%E -3.42%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.55%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-30 14:05
Bet Right🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.46%EV -10.52%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.23%EV -8.30%E -5.72%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.36%E -1.34%K -1.70%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-30 14:15
Betclic (FR)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.27%EV -10.52%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.84%EV -10.20%E -7.18%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.89%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 14:38
Sky Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 16.96%EV -10.52%E -2.00%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.84%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.20%EV -17.20%E -4.10%K -5.38%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-30 14:40
NetBet (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.54%EV -13.08%E -2.56%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 62.57%EV -9.56%E -6.69%K -22.24%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.88%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-30 14:40
Unibet (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.87%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 62.92%EV -10.20%E -7.18%K -24.27%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.21%EV -8.33%E -1.79%K -2.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-30 14:40
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:25
William Hill🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -14.79%E -2.96%K -3.70%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -13.26%E -3.01%K -3.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-30 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 18.68%EV -16.49%E -3.37%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.26%EV -7.03%E -4.78%K -14.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -5.37%E -1.12%K -1.41%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-30 14:40
Winamax (FR)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -19.90%E -4.23%K -5.38%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 61.84%EV -8.30%E -5.72%K -18.44%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.08%EV -7.34%E -1.56%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-30 14:40
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -23.31%E -5.18%K -6.66%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 60.98%EV -8.93%E -6.20%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.51%EV -11.29%E -2.51%K -3.22%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-30 14:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%1.54I 64.94%NM 64.25%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.79%1.1%2026-08-30 14:40
Matchbook◎6.20I 16.13%NM 15.89%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.40%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.71%1.5%2026-08-30 14:40
Kalshi◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.72%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.63%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.65%1.8%2026-08-30 14:40
Smarkets◎6.00I 16.67%NM 16.27%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.81%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.92%2.4%2026-08-30 14:40