Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar

2026-10-18 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Head to Head

33 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prediction 12.90%7.75fair odd
EV +19.94%
Edge +2.14%
Kelly +2.40%
Growth +0.479%

assuming max odds 9.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.18%12.80%12.62%15.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.607.457.509.3017.86%13.42%13.33%10.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Visit)

Prediction 69.52%1.44fair odd
EV -3.37%
Edge -2.43%
Kelly -8.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.53%69.42%69.90%72.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.271.321.311.3978.74%75.77%76.34%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.59%5.69fair odd
EV +5.52%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.10%
Growth +0.061%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.00%17.78%17.48%19.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.745.305.406.0021.10%18.87%18.52%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: SC Cambuur (Local): 12.90%; AZ Alkmaar (Visit): 69.52%; Draw: 17.59%. For SC Cambuur (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.75. 10 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 9.30, producing a positive expected value of +19.94%.

Sportsbook Odds (33 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +19.94%E +2.14%K +2.40%G +0.479%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯9.08I 11.01%NM 10.32%EV +17.11%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.362%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -6.85%E -5.11%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.77%EV -16.64%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +2.00%E +0.345%K +0.417%G +0.008%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -0.046%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.58%EV -1.34%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.23%EV -3.37%E -2.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.19%EV -6.97%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.244%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.244%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.97%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.17%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -4.76%E -3.48%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.17%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -17.46%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -22.62%E -3.77%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 67.74%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -26.49%E -4.65%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.45%EV -27.78%E -4.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.53%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%16.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Arbitrage (7 combinations) +0.64%NordicBet 9.30 (10.8%) / 1xBet 1.39 (72.4%) / Unibet (NL) 6.00 (16.8%)Show all 7 combinations
SC Cambuur (Local)AZ Alkmaar (Visit)DrawMargin
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)Unibet (NL)🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)Unibet (NL)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.0%)Grosvenor🎯 5.80 (17.3%)+0.064%