Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 12:30 UTC

Final: SC Cambuur 2–2 AZ Alkmaar

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prediction 15.46%6.47fair odd
EV +8.24%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.113%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.86%15.47%15.49%17.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.106.126.107.0019.61%16.33%16.39%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Visit)

Prediction 65.16%1.53fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -2.40%
Kelly -7.41%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.27%65.15%65.19%67.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.421.431.4873.53%70.39%69.93%67.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.37%5.16fair odd
EV +2.68%
Edge +0.506%
Kelly +0.624%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 5.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.30%19.38%19.32%20.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.794.805.3023.09%20.86%20.83%18.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SC Cambuur (Local): 15.46%; AZ Alkmaar (Visit): 65.16%; Draw: 19.37%. For SC Cambuur (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.47. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.24%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (NL)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +8.24%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.113%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +2.68%E +0.506%K +0.624%G +0.017%3.1%2026-10-18 12:00
Svenska Spel🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +8.24%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.113%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +2.68%E +0.506%K +0.624%G +0.017%3.1%2026-10-18 12:00
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.86%EV +8.24%E +1.18%K +1.37%G +0.113%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.84%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.30%EV +2.68%E +0.506%K +0.624%G +0.017%3.1%2026-10-18 11:59
Tipico (DE)🎯6.70I 14.93%NM 13.92%EV +3.60%E +0.538%K +0.632%G +0.023%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.64%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 12:24
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 10:34
Bet Victor🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.8%2026-10-18 12:20
Coolbet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.40%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.99%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-18 11:29
Betr (AU)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -7.47%E -5.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 11:29
SportsBet🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.20%EV -8.12%E -5.76%K -19.81%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 12:24
Casumo🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 11:59
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 11:59
betPARX🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.35%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.62%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-18 11:59
FanDuel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.02%EV +0.509%E +0.078%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.00%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.98%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-18 12:24
NordicBet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -1.04%E -0.162%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.57%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.67%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-18 11:25
Unibet🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 14.48%EV -1.04%E -0.162%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.21%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.31%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 11:59
1xBet🎯6.36I 15.72%NM 15.12%EV -1.66%E -0.260%K -0.309%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.97%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.91%EV -6.42%E -1.33%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.0%2026-10-18 12:20
Pinnacle🎯6.34I 15.77%NM 15.22%EV -1.96%E -0.310%K -0.368%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.18%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.61%EV -4.68%E -0.951%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-10-18 12:15
Betsson🎯6.31I 15.85%NM 14.84%EV -2.43%E -0.385%K -0.457%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.49%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.76I 21.01%NM 19.67%EV -7.78%E -1.63%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 11:24
Bovada🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -3.36%E -0.537%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.63%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -6.04%E -1.24%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:23
PointsBet (AU)🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV -3.36%E -0.537%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.49%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.62%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 11:49
Grosvenor🎯6.25I 16.00%NM 14.64%EV -3.36%E -0.537%K -0.639%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.30%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 11:59
LowVig.ag🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.86%E -3.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:14
BetOnline.ag🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.86%E -3.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:14
BetUS🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.86%E -3.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:14
BetAnything🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.63%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.30%EV -4.86%E -3.33%K -10.57%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.07%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%4.9%2026-10-18 11:14
Virgin Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.80%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 12:00
LiveScore Bet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.80%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 12:00
BetRivers🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.80%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 12:00
TABtouch🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 14.89%EV -5.68%E -0.930%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 65.80%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.32%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%10.1%2026-10-18 12:00
Marathon Bet🎯6.05I 16.53%NM 15.38%EV -6.45%E -1.07%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.61%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.01%EV -9.91%E -2.13%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-18 08:50
Coral🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 10:20
BetMGM🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.86%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.31%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.83%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-18 10:24
picklebet_au🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.79%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.46%EV -4.21%E -2.86%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.74%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-18 09:34
DraftKings🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.19%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.16%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-18 12:19
Fanatics🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.56%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.76%EV -7.47%E -5.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.68%EV -3.13%E -0.626%K -0.782%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 12:00
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 12:24
PlayUp🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.12%EV -7.47%E -5.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.47%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 11:24
William Hill🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:20
888sport🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.10%EV -6.17%E -4.28%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.51%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%8.3%2026-10-18 12:20
Bet Right🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.27%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.44%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-18 11:29
betfred_uk🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.17%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.03%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.79%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.8%2026-10-18 11:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 11:59
PMU (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.69%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.42%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 12:24
Paddy Power🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -7.22%E -1.20%K -1.44%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.4%2026-10-18 12:19
Codere (IT)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -10.31%E -1.78%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -4.21%E -2.86%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -5.07%E -1.03%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-18 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -11.09%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-18 10:20
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.41%EV -11.09%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.74%EV -3.56%E -2.40%K -7.41%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 08:20
Sky Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 15.54%EV -11.09%E -1.93%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 63.82%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.64%EV -16.11%E -3.72%K -4.84%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.87%EV -13.41%E -2.39%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 64.39%EV -10.08%E -7.30%K -26.51%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.75%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-18 11:25
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -14.95%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.55%EV -8.77%E -6.27%K -21.93%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.02%EV -7.97%E -1.68%K -2.13%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 12:24
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.25%EV -14.95%E -2.72%K -3.32%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 64.31%EV -9.42%E -6.78%K -24.16%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.43%EV -10.88%E -2.37%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-18 12:03
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.21%EV -18.05%E -3.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.79%EV -6.82%E -4.77%K -15.85%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -7.00%E -1.46%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-18 08:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.46%EV -18.05%E -3.40%K -4.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 64.15%EV -11.38%E -8.37%K -31.61%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.39%EV -12.82%E -2.85%K -3.66%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-18 12:04
Winamax (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.62%EV -21.14%E -4.14%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.27%EV -7.47%E -5.26%K -17.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.12%EV -8.94%E -1.90%K -2.42%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-18 08:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.47%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.36%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.17%0.3%2026-10-18 12:25
Smarkets◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-10-18 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.40I 13.51%NM 13.42%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.11%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.47%0.7%2026-10-18 12:25
Kalshi◎7.14I 14.01%NM 13.86%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.32%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.81%1.0%2026-10-18 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.13%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-10-18 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎7.00I 14.29%NM 14.13%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.84%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.02%1.1%2026-10-18 12:20