Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur v AZ Alkmaar

2026-10-18 12:30 UTC — Dutch Eredivisie

Résultat du match

34 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

SC Cambuur (Local)

Prévision 12.90%7.75cote équitable
EV +19.94%
Avantage +2.14%
Kelly +2.40%
Croissance +0.479%

avec la cote maximale 9.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
10.18%12.80%12.62%15.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
5.607.417.509.3017.86%13.49%13.33%10.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)

Prévision 69.52%1.44cote équitable
EV -3.37%
Avantage -2.43%
Kelly -8.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.39

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.53%69.42%69.90%72.71%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.271.321.311.3978.74%75.83%76.34%71.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 17.59%5.69cote équitable
EV +5.52%
Avantage +0.920%
Kelly +1.10%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 6.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.00%17.78%17.48%19.77%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.745.285.356.0021.10%18.93%18.69%16.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : SC Cambuur (Local) : 12.90% ; AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur) : 69.52% ; Match nul : 17.59%. Pour SC Cambuur (Local), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 7.75. 10 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 9.30, pour une espérance positive de +19.94%.

Cotes des opérateurs (34 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
NordicBet🎯9.30I 10.75%NM 10.18%EV +19.94%E +2.14%K +2.40%G +0.479%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.11%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.72%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-10 14:00
Betsson🎯9.08I 11.01%NM 10.32%EV +17.11%E +1.88%K +2.12%G +0.362%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.92%EV -6.85%E -5.11%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.74I 21.10%NM 19.77%EV -16.64%E -3.51%K -4.45%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (NL)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Svenska Spel🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
ATG (SE)🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.29%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.71%EV -8.24%E -6.24%K -25.75%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.00%EV +5.52%E +0.920%K +1.10%G +0.061%4.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Grosvenor🎯8.50I 11.76%NM 11.11%EV +9.63%E +1.13%K +1.28%G +0.124%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.62%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.28%EV +2.00%E +0.345%K +0.417%G +0.008%5.9%2026-10-10 14:00
Casumo🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet (SE)🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
betPARX🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.65%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.70%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.65%EV -1.51%E -0.270%K -0.329%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-10 14:01
Unibet🎯8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +3.18%E +0.397%K +0.454%G +0.014%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Coolbet🎯7.75I 12.90%NM 12.27%EV -0.046%E -0.006%K -0.007%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.44%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-10 14:00
1xBet🎯7.65I 13.07%NM 12.58%EV -1.34%E -0.175%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.23%EV -3.37%E -2.43%K -8.65%G +0.000%5.29I 18.90%NM 18.19%EV -6.97%E -1.32%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Betr (AU)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Fanatics🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.63%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.15%EV -6.15%E -4.56%K -17.58%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.22%EV -3.27%E -0.595%K -0.727%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-10 14:01
SportsBet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.244%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:01
FanDuel🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.20%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.36%EV +0.244%E +0.043%K +0.052%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-10 14:00
BetRivers🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.19%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 70.88%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.93%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-10 14:01
Virgin Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
LiveScore Bet🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:01
TABtouch🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.12%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 71.04%EV -11.02%E -8.61%K -39.36%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.84%EV -5.03%E -0.932%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-10 14:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -3.27%E -0.436%K -0.503%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 70.97%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.39%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.01%EV -6.79%E -1.28%K -1.58%G +0.000%10.9%2026-10-10 14:01
William Hill🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:00
888sport🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Mr Green (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
888sport (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.68%EV -5.46%E -4.01%K -15.16%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.17%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-10 14:01
betfred_uk🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-10 14:01
Paddy Power🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.78%EV -9.72%E -1.39%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.33%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.89%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -16.17%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.95%EV -4.76%E -3.48%K -12.87%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -7.67%E -1.46%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-10 14:00
BoyleSports🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -16.17%E -2.49%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.00%EV -7.54%E -5.67%K -22.86%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Betclic (FR)🎯6.40I 15.63%NM 13.93%EV -17.46%E -2.73%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 68.59%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.48%EV -10.31%E -2.02%K -2.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-10-10 13:59
Sky Bet🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.46%EV -22.62%E -3.77%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 67.27%EV -10.32%E -8.00%K -35.60%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.27%EV -16.46%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%15.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Unibet (FR)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 14.34%EV -22.62%E -3.77%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 67.74%EV -11.71%E -9.22%K -43.39%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.92%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%16.2%2026-10-10 14:00
Winamax (DE)🎯5.70I 17.54%NM 15.41%EV -26.49%E -4.65%K -5.64%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 67.03%EV -8.93%E -6.82%K -28.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.56%EV -12.07%E -2.41%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-10-10 14:01
Winamax (FR)🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 15.45%EV -27.78%E -4.96%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.53%EV -9.63%E -7.41%K -32.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.02%EV -15.58%E -3.25%K -4.10%G +0.000%15.6%2026-10-10 14:01
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎5.70I 17.54%NM 15.10%1.30I 76.92%NM 66.20%4.60I 21.74%NM 18.71%16.2%2026-10-10 14:01
Arbitrage (7 combinaisons) +0.64%NordicBet 9.30 (10.8%) / 1xBet 1.39 (72.4%) / Unibet (NL) 6.00 (16.8%)Afficher les 7 combinaisons
SC Cambuur (Local)AZ Alkmaar (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)Unibet (NL)🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.4%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.8%)+0.642%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)Unibet (NL)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)Svenska Spel🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
Betsson🎯 9.08 (11.1%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.2%)ATG (SE)🎯 6.00 (16.7%)+0.379%
NordicBet🎯 9.30 (10.8%)1xBet🎯 1.39 (72.0%)Grosvenor🎯 5.80 (17.3%)+0.064%