Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.30
assuming max odds 10.50
assuming max odds 6.83
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: PSV Eindhoven (Local): 74.93%; Heerenveen (Visit): 10.34%; Draw: 14.74%. For Heerenveen (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.67. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.53%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.53%E +0.812%K +0.898%G +0.077% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.49%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 10.37I 9.64%NM 9.22%EV +7.18%E +0.693%K +0.767%G +0.055% | 6.69I 14.95%NM 14.29%EV -1.42%E -0.212%K -0.249%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +3.36%E +0.336%K +0.373%G +0.013% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.82%EV +0.260%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV +0.203%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.70I 10.31%NM 9.82%EV +0.260%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000% | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV +0.203%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.64%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 9.51I 10.52%NM 10.18%EV -1.70%E -0.179%K -0.200%G +0.000% | 6.83I 14.64%NM 14.18%EV +0.645%E +0.095%K +0.111%G +0.001% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -2.59%E -1.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV -5.69%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -2.59%E -1.99%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV -5.69%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.533%E -0.079%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.533%E -0.079%K -0.093%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -1.27%E -0.190%K -0.223%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000% | 9.30I 10.75%NM 10.02%EV -3.87%E -0.417%K -0.467%G +0.000% | 6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -7.16%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -4.39%E -0.475%K -0.532%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.84%E -6.37%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.73%EV -9.04%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.74%E -0.416%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.79%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.37%EV -9.04%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 6.15I 16.26%NM 14.84%EV -9.37%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.56%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 16:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 75.01%EV -13.08%E -11.28%K -81.77%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.24%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 14.75%EV -13.06%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 72.40%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.22%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -26.32%E -5.26%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 75.12%EV -15.33%E -13.57%K -117.93%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 9.99%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 14.89%EV -16.01%E -2.81%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -14.73%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 6.10I 16.39%NM 14.66%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-02-21 17:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.31%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.62%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.90I 12.66%NM 11.28%EV -18.35%E -2.32%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.10%EV -13.06%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.19%EV -7.84%E -6.37%K -34.08%G +0.000% | 7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -19.90%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-21 17:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 72.75%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -27.65%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-02-21 17:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 17:29 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09% | 1.4% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |