L’École des cotes

PSV Eindhoven v Heerenveen

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 17:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

PSV Eindhoven (Local)

Prévision 74.93%1.33cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.99%
Kelly -8.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
72.40%74.81%75.01%76.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.241.251.3088.50%80.38%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Heerenveen (Visiteur)

Prévision 10.34%9.67cote équitable
EV +8.53%
Avantage +0.812%
Kelly +0.898%
Croissance +0.077%

avec la cote maximale 10.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
8.91%10.40%10.32%12.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.009.089.0010.5014.29%11.01%11.11%9.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 14.74%6.79cote équitable
EV +0.645%
Avantage +0.095%
Kelly +0.111%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 6.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.89%14.80%14.67%17.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.226.256.8320.00%16.07%16.00%14.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
SportsBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.91%EV +8.53%E +0.812%K +0.898%G +0.077%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:35
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 76.49%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%10.37I 9.64%NM 9.22%EV +7.18%E +0.693%K +0.767%G +0.055%6.69I 14.95%NM 14.29%EV -1.42%E -0.212%K -0.249%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 17:35
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 75.33%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.72%EV +3.36%E +0.336%K +0.373%G +0.013%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.95%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%2.9%2026-02-21 17:40
Bovada1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetUS1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:20
BetAnything1.24I 80.65%NM 75.44%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.59%EV +0.777%E +0.080%K +0.089%G +0.001%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:20
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.82%EV +0.260%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV +0.203%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:40
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 76.18%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.82%EV +0.260%E +0.027%K +0.030%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.00%EV +0.203%E +0.030%K +0.035%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-21 17:40
1xBet1.28I 78.13%NM 75.64%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000%9.51I 10.52%NM 10.18%EV -1.70%E -0.179%K -0.200%G +0.000%6.83I 14.64%NM 14.18%EV +0.645%E +0.095%K +0.111%G +0.001%3.3%2026-02-21 17:35
ATG (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -2.59%E -1.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV -5.69%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:40
Svenska Spel1.30I 76.92%NM 74.63%EV -2.59%E -1.99%K -8.64%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.21%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.16%EV -5.69%E -0.889%K -1.05%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 17:40
LowVig.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.533%E -0.079%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:20
BetOnline.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 75.65%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.11%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -0.533%E -0.079%K -0.093%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.65%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.06%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.29%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 17:40
Unibet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.80%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:40
Coolbet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:34
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.39%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.00%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Everygame1.25I 80.00%NM 75.10%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.02%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.31%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.89%EV -1.27%E -0.190%K -0.223%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 17:20
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 75.98%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.76%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 17:40
FanDuel1.21I 82.64%NM 76.13%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%8.6%2026-02-21 17:30
Paddy Power1.20I 83.33%NM 75.40%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.52%EV -1.81%E -0.190%K -0.213%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.08%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 17:35
Marathon Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 75.18%EV -7.09%E -5.72%K -29.54%G +0.000%9.30I 10.75%NM 10.02%EV -3.87%E -0.417%K -0.467%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.80%EV -7.16%E -1.14%K -1.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Betr (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.90%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.12%EV -4.39%E -0.475%K -0.532%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.98%EV -7.90%E -1.26%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 17:20
Bet Victor1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.34%E -2.59%K -11.53%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.83%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:24
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.12%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 17:15
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.43%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.65%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 16:55
Casumo1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:40
LeoVegas1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:40
BetRivers1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:20
Grosvenor1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:40
betPARX1.26I 79.37%NM 74.26%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.34%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-21 17:40
TABtouch1.25I 80.00%NM 74.42%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.34%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.25%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 17:40
William Hill1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:15
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:20
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.46%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 17:20
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:15
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:15
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.73%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.24%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.03%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -7.84%E -6.37%K -34.08%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.19%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.28%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-21 17:40
Virgin Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:40
LiveScore Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 74.69%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.12%EV -6.98%E -0.775%K -0.872%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 17:40
Codere (IT)1.26I 79.37%NM 74.96%EV -5.59%E -4.44%K -21.50%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.73%EV -9.04%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.31%EV -2.74%E -0.416%K -0.490%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-21 17:15
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 74.79%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.37%EV -9.04%E -1.03%K -1.16%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 14.84%EV -9.37%E -1.52%K -1.82%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:40
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 74.60%EV -4.84%E -3.81%K -17.93%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.83%EV -9.56%E -1.09%K -1.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.58%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Coral1.28I 78.13%NM 74.21%EV -4.09%E -3.20%K -14.61%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.61%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 16:55
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 73.78%EV -6.34%E -5.07%K -25.36%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.85%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-21 16:50
Sky Bet1.20I 83.33%NM 74.08%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.46%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.46%EV -15.27%E -2.66%K -3.21%G +0.000%12.5%2026-02-21 17:30
NetBet (FR)1.16I 86.21%NM 75.01%EV -13.08%E -11.28%K -81.77%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.24%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.75%EV -13.06%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 17:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 72.40%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.22%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.38%EV -26.32%E -5.26%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-21 17:20
PMU (FR)1.13I 88.50%NM 75.12%EV -15.33%E -13.57%K -117.93%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 9.99%EV -12.14%E -1.43%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 14.89%EV -16.01%E -2.81%K -3.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-02-21 17:35
Betclic (FR)1.20I 83.33%NM 74.51%EV -10.09%E -8.41%K -50.43%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 10.84%EV -14.73%E -1.79%K -2.03%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.66%EV -10.11%E -1.66%K -1.98%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 17:19
BoyleSports1.22I 81.97%NM 73.76%EV -8.59%E -7.04%K -39.03%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.25%EV -17.31%E -2.16%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.00%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 16:50
Parions Sport (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.62%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.90I 12.66%NM 11.28%EV -18.35%E -2.32%K -2.66%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.10%EV -13.06%E -2.21%K -2.67%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 17:20
Winamax (DE)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.19%EV -7.84%E -6.37%K -34.08%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 11.77%EV -19.90%E -2.57%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -4.22%E -0.649%K -0.767%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-21 17:15
Winamax (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 72.75%EV -9.34%E -7.72%K -44.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.58%EV -27.65%E -3.95%K -4.61%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -11.59%E -1.93%K -2.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-02-21 17:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.28I 78.13%NM 77.85%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.30%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%0.3%2026-02-21 17:29
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-02-21 17:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-02-21 17:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.28I 78.13%NM 77.55%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.27%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.18%0.7%2026-02-21 17:30
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 77.68%12.00I 8.33%NM 8.22%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.09%1.4%2026-02-21 17:40