L’École des cotes

NEC Nijmegen v SC Telstar

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-02 19:00 UTC

Score final : NEC Nijmegen 1–1 SC Telstar

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Prévision 62.02%1.61cote équitable
EV -0.771%
Avantage -0.482%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.26%61.95%61.92%63.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.431.511.511.6069.93%66.32%66.23%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

SC Telstar (Visiteur)

Prévision 17.94%5.58cote équitable
EV +0.442%
Avantage +0.079%
Kelly +0.096%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.99%17.99%18.01%19.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.505.195.255.6022.22%19.27%19.05%17.86%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.05%4.99cote équitable
EV +0.230%
Avantage +0.046%
Kelly +0.057%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.91%20.06%20.07%21.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.334.614.605.0023.09%21.71%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%EV +0.442%E +0.079%K +0.096%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 17:45
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.33%EV +0.442%E +0.079%K +0.096%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.44%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 62.51%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.30%EV +0.442%E +0.079%K +0.096%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.19%EV -3.78%E -0.787%K -0.995%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-02 18:06
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 62.49%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.38%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-02 18:54
Coolbet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.64%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.31%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.05%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-02 18:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV +0.230%E +0.046%K +0.057%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:50
Fanatics1.50I 66.67%NM 62.95%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:50
Tipico (DE)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.55%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.99%EV -1.35%E -0.246%K -0.300%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -3.78%E -0.787%K -0.995%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:35
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.88%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.53%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.58%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-02 18:05
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:45
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 62.18%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.50%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.32%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-02 18:45
Unibet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.04%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.50%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 17:45
Casumo1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:45
betPARX1.51I 66.23%NM 62.19%EV -6.35%E -4.21%K -12.46%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.39%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-02 17:45
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 62.35%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.32%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.33%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-02 18:06
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 62.93%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -3.15%E -0.582%K -0.715%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -5.78%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-02 18:36
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.80%EV -3.25%E -2.08%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.99%EV -3.86%E -0.721%K -0.886%G +0.000%4.77I 20.96%NM 20.21%EV -4.38%E -0.918%K -1.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-02 18:45
BetAnything1.52I 65.79%NM 62.10%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.81%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.08%EV -5.78%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:55
Bovada1.52I 65.79%NM 61.97%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.77%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.26%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:55
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 61.87%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.51%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.62%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-02 17:45
LeoVegas1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.18%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.36%EV -4.94%E -0.932%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.45%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-02 17:45
DraftKings1.53I 65.36%NM 61.84%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.02%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -5.78%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-02 18:53
BetUS1.52I 65.79%NM 61.87%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:50
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.89%EV -5.78%E -1.23%K -1.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-02 18:50
Marathon Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.18%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.06%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-02 18:55
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.04%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.73%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-02 18:55
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.76%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.65%EV -5.84%E -1.11%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-02 18:50
1xBet1.60I 62.50%NM 60.67%EV -0.771%E -0.482%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.63%EV -6.55%E -1.26%K -1.56%G +0.000%4.69I 21.32%NM 20.70%EV -5.98%E -1.28%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-02 18:50
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:49
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.16%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-02 18:50
PMU (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.14%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.57%EV -6.73%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.30%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-02 18:05
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 61.24%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.98%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.78%EV -3.78%E -0.787%K -0.995%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-02 05:55
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.27%EV -4.49%E -2.92%K -8.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.87%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -4.78%E -1.01%K -1.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-02 06:01
Codere (IT)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.55%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.62%EV -3.78%E -0.787%K -0.995%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-02 18:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.72%EV -3.87%E -2.50%K -7.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.82%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.46%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-02 18:55
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 60.91%EV -5.73%E -3.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-02 18:55
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:50
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.50%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.45%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.05%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-02 18:35
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:50
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:50
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.26%EV -5.11%E -3.34%K -9.65%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.29%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Bet Right1.48I 67.57%NM 61.81%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.89%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-02 18:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 62.19%EV -10.69%E -7.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -10.32%E -2.06%K -2.58%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.90%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-02 18:35
Betclic (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 61.88%EV -8.83%E -6.01%K -18.79%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.56%EV -12.11%E -2.47%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.56%EV -6.79%E -1.46%K -1.86%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-02 18:54
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 61.54%EV -9.45%E -6.48%K -20.55%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.72%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.75%EV -8.79%E -1.93%K -2.48%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-02 18:50
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 61.25%EV -10.69%E -7.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.38%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.37%EV -13.20%E -3.05%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-02 18:36
NetBet (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 61.62%EV -11.31%E -7.91%K -26.31%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.36%EV -13.91%E -2.90%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.03%EV -11.80%E -2.68%K -3.47%G +0.000%13.5%2026-05-02 18:55
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 61.61%EV -10.69%E -7.43%K -24.30%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.68%EV -14.80%E -3.12%K -3.95%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.71%EV -9.79%E -2.18%K -2.80%G +0.000%12.7%2026-05-02 18:55
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.29%EV -6.97%E -4.65%K -13.95%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.56%EV -15.70%E -3.34%K -4.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -3.78%E -0.787%K -0.995%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-02 18:50
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.58%EV -8.21%E -5.55%K -17.11%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -19.29%E -4.29%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.49%EV -7.79%E -1.69%K -2.16%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-02 18:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.57I 63.69%NM 63.55%6.20I 16.13%NM 16.09%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.36%0.2%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.84%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.96%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.20%1.1%2026-05-02 18:55
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 63.40%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.78%1.1%2026-05-02 17:21
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 63.51%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.41%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.09%1.6%2026-05-02 18:55
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.74%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.87%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.39%2.2%2026-05-02 18:55