A Escola das Odds

NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen

Início: 2026-03-22 11:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Previsão 56.23%1.78odd justa
EV -2.73%
Vantagem -1.58%
Kelly -3.73%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.73

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.56%56.18%56.23%57.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.501.661.671.7366.67%60.27%59.88%57.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heerenveen (Visitante)

Previsão 22.17%4.51odd justa
EV +3.11%
Vantagem +0.668%
Kelly +0.852%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.65

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.48%22.19%22.23%23.77%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.754.184.204.6526.67%23.90%23.81%21.51%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 21.60%4.63odd justa
EV -1.73%
Vantagem -0.380%
Kelly -0.487%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.55

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.20%21.64%21.54%24.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.244.284.5528.57%23.61%23.39%21.98%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +3.11%E +0.668%K +0.852%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 11:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.04%E -6.27%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -0.218%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 11:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -1.33%E -0.298%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.89%E -0.874%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 10:59
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%EV -2.73%E -1.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%EV -2.73%E -1.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.82%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -1.73%E -0.380%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.82%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -1.73%E -0.380%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.98%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.14%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.12%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 10:58
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 10:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 11:00
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.01%EV -3.10%E -0.710%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV -4.54%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.34%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.20%EV -3.77%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.46%EV -3.02%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 11:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -3.99%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 10:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 10:59
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 09:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 11:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 11:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 10:59
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 13:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 04:20
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 13:04
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 04:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:58
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 06:33
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 09:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 10:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.55%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%EV -10.20%E -2.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 10:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 08:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.16%EV -10.60%E -6.67%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 10:56
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 10:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 13:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.72%EV -12.53%E -3.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 11:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.87%EV -15.66%E -10.44%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.49%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -20.09%E -5.43%K -7.44%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 10:59
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -15.74%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 10:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.04%EV -10.04%E -6.27%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -24.41%E -6.97%K -9.76%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-22 09:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%1.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-03-22 11:00