La escuela de los momios

NEC Nijmegen v Heerenveen

Inicio: 2026-03-22 11:15 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (19 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Predicción 56.23%1.78momio equitativo
EV -2.73%
Ventaja -1.58%
Kelly -3.73%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.56%56.18%56.23%57.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.661.671.7366.67%60.27%59.88%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Heerenveen (Visitante)

Predicción 22.17%4.51momio equitativo
EV +3.11%
Ventaja +0.668%
Kelly +0.852%
Crecimiento +0.026%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.48%22.19%22.23%23.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.184.204.6526.67%23.90%23.81%21.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 21.60%4.63momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.380%
Kelly -0.487%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.20%21.64%21.54%24.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.244.284.5528.57%23.61%23.39%21.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.81%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV +3.11%E +0.668%K +0.852%G +0.026%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 11:00
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -10.04%E -6.27%K -16.73%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -0.218%E -0.048%K -0.062%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-22 11:00
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.42%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -1.33%E -0.298%K -0.385%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.29%EV -3.89%E -0.874%K -1.13%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-22 10:59
ATG (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%EV -2.73%E -1.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Svenska Spel1.73I 57.80%NM 55.84%EV -2.73%E -1.58%K -3.73%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.21%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
BetOnline.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.82%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -1.73%E -0.380%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
LowVig.ag1.70I 58.82%NM 56.82%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.95%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.23%EV -1.73%E -0.380%K -0.487%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.98%EV -3.29%E -1.91%K -4.57%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.88%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.14%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 57.12%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.68%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.20%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-22 10:58
Marathon Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 57.24%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.21%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-22 10:59
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 57.46%EV -9.47%E -5.88%K -15.53%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.03%EV -2.44%E -0.554%K -0.716%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.51%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-22 11:00
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.24%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 22.01%EV -3.10%E -0.710%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.76%EV -4.54%E -1.03%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Pinnacle1.71I 58.48%NM 56.34%EV -3.85%E -2.25%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.20%EV -3.77%E -0.868%K -1.13%G +0.000%4.49I 22.27%NM 21.46%EV -3.02%E -0.673%K -0.866%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-22 11:00
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.22%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.55%EV -3.99%E -0.921%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 10:00
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 56.54%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.22%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.23%EV -2.81%E -0.624%K -0.802%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-21 11:40
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.08%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-22 10:59
DraftKings1.67I 59.88%NM 56.56%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.97%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-22 10:59
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.93%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-22 10:59
Tipico (DE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -4.65%E -1.08%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.71%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 09:39
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 11:00
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
betPARX1.68I 59.52%NM 55.85%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.08%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 11:00
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 55.99%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.00%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-22 11:00
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 10:59
TABtouch1.66I 60.24%NM 56.00%EV -6.66%E -4.01%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.87%EV -5.76%E -1.36%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-22 11:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.69%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.54%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -6.05%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-21 13:05
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.98%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.52%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.50%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-22 04:20
Codere (IT)1.69I 59.17%NM 55.70%EV -4.97%E -2.94%K -7.21%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.41%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.89%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-21 13:04
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 04:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.27%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.36%EV -4.97%E -1.13%K -1.46%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-22 04:19
Bovada1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:58
BetUS1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
BetAnything1.68I 59.52%NM 55.84%EV -5.54%E -3.30%K -8.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-22 10:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.08%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.63%EV -6.48%E -1.50%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-22 06:33
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 11:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.00%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 55.84%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -6.87%E -1.64%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.62%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-22 09:59
Virgin Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 10:59
LiveScore Bet1.63I 61.35%NM 55.71%EV -8.35%E -5.12%K -13.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -9.09%E -2.22%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-22 10:59
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.55%EV -7.22%E -4.38%K -11.11%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.63%EV -10.20%E -2.52%K -3.34%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.82%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.93%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.72%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-22 10:59
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.79%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.29%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.92%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-22 10:59
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 08:00
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.50%EV -6.10%E -3.65%K -9.10%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-22 07:59
Betclic (FR)1.59I 62.89%NM 56.16%EV -10.60%E -6.67%K -17.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 21.52%EV -10.37%E -2.50%K -3.29%G +0.000%12.0%2026-03-22 10:56
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.93%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.25%EV -11.30%E -2.83%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.82%EV -15.77%E -4.04%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.4%2026-03-22 10:00
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 54.63%EV -4.41%E -2.60%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.51%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.85%EV -8.21%E -1.93%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -7.79%E -4.75%K -12.17%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.11%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.23%EV -7.13%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-21 13:05
Parions Sport (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.27%EV -12.41%E -3.14%K -4.21%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.72%EV -12.53%E -3.09%K -4.11%G +0.000%13.7%2026-03-22 11:00
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 55.87%EV -15.66%E -10.44%K -31.32%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 21.49%EV -13.52%E -3.47%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 22.65%EV -20.09%E -5.43%K -7.44%G +0.000%19.3%2026-03-22 10:59
NetBet (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 55.38%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.88%EV -15.74%E -4.14%K -5.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -13.61%E -3.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-22 10:59
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 55.01%EV -8.91%E -5.50%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.77%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.22%EV -9.29%E -2.21%K -2.90%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-22 10:59
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.04%EV -10.04%E -6.27%K -16.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.48%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.48%EV -11.45%E -2.79%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.6%2026-03-21 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 53.56%EV -11.72%E -7.47%K -20.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 22.42%EV -16.85%E -4.49%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.02%EV -24.41%E -6.97%K -9.76%G +0.000%18.9%2026-03-22 09:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.92%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.07%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Matchbook1.70I 58.82%NM 58.26%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.21%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.53%1.0%2026-03-22 11:00
Kalshi1.72I 58.14%NM 57.49%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.77%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.73%1.1%2026-03-22 11:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.60%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.52%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.89%1.5%2026-03-22 11:00
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 57.49%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.79%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.72%2.3%2026-03-22 11:00