L’École des cotes

NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

Score final : NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Prévision 45.37%2.20cote équitable
EV +8.89%
Avantage +3.70%
Kelly +6.35%
Croissance +0.564%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.35%45.31%45.43%46.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.952.082.062.4051.28%48.18%48.54%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Feyenoord (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.85%3.35cote équitable
EV -0.907%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.391%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.46%29.92%29.77%40.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.103.083.103.3247.62%32.43%32.26%30.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 24.78%4.04cote équitable
EV -0.871%
Avantage -0.218%
Kelly -0.290%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.72%24.77%24.80%26.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.703.704.0030.77%27.02%27.03%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV +8.89%E +3.70%K +6.35%G +0.564%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -37.32%E -17.77%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.09%E -0.501%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.62%EV -3.29%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.32%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -0.907%E -0.273%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV -3.84%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.871%E -0.218%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -18.82%E -6.92%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.80%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.871%E -0.218%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 11:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.456%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:01
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.59%EV -7.90%E -3.89%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.05%EV -8.07%E -2.62%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -8.35%E -4.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -2.11%E -0.534%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -11.95%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -19.41%E -7.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -19.46%E -5.99%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.95%EV -11.07%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -14.93%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.44%E -4.64%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-04-12 12:01