La escuela de los momios

NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord

Inicio: 2026-04-12 12:30 UTC

Final: NEC Nijmegen 1–1 Feyenoord

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

NEC Nijmegen (Local)

Predicción 45.37%2.20momio equitativo
EV +8.89%
Ventaja +3.70%
Kelly +6.35%
Crecimiento +0.564%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.35%45.31%45.43%46.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.952.082.062.4051.28%48.18%48.54%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Feyenoord (Visitante)

Predicción 29.85%3.35momio equitativo
EV -0.907%
Ventaja -0.273%
Kelly -0.391%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.46%29.92%29.77%40.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.103.083.103.3247.62%32.43%32.26%30.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 24.78%4.04momio equitativo
EV -0.871%
Ventaja -0.218%
Kelly -0.290%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%24.77%24.80%26.12%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.253.703.704.0030.77%27.02%27.03%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Parions Sport (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 35.35%EV +8.89%E +3.70%K +6.35%G +0.564%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.40%EV -37.32%E -17.77%K -33.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.24%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%17.9%2026-03-22 21:49
Unibet (NL)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.11%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.42%EV -4.59%E -1.19%K -1.61%G +0.000%2.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Svenska Spel2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 12:00
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 44.12%EV -0.185%E -0.084%K -0.154%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.33%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.54%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Bovada2.18I 45.87%NM 43.03%EV -1.09%E -0.501%K -0.926%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.27%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-12 10:59
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -2.45%E -1.14%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 44.08%EV -2.91%E -1.36%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.43%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-12 12:00
1xBet2.13I 46.95%NM 45.06%EV -3.36%E -1.58%K -2.97%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.62%EV -3.29%E -1.02%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.79I 26.39%NM 25.32%EV -6.08%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-12 12:00
NordicBet2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.31%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.75%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Casumo2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
betPARX2.12I 47.17%NM 44.31%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.30%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:00
BetRivers2.12I 47.17%NM 44.16%EV -3.81%E -1.80%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.20%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Pinnacle2.10I 47.62%NM 46.00%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 29.10%EV -0.907%E -0.273%K -0.391%G +0.000%3.88I 25.77%NM 24.90%EV -3.84%E -0.991%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-12 12:00
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.40%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.76%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV -0.871%E -0.218%K -0.290%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.27%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.71%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.02%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Codere (IT)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.84%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.78%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 11:59
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.69%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-12 11:53
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-12 12:01
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.17%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.41%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.41%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
NetBet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.85%EV -4.72%E -2.25%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.31%EV -18.82%E -6.92%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.85%EV -15.74%E -4.63%K -6.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
LeoVegas (SE)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.25%EV -5.63%E -2.71%K -5.21%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.18%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-12 12:00
BetUS2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
BetAnything2.07I 48.31%NM 45.48%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.42%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-12 12:00
Marathon Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 45.05%EV -6.08%E -2.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.68I 27.17%NM 25.34%EV -8.80%E -2.39%K -3.28%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
BetOnline.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
LowVig.ag2.06I 48.54%NM 45.08%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.48%EV -5.98%E -1.90%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.44%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
PMU (FR)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Virgin Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:01
LiveScore Bet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.11%EV -6.54%E -3.17%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.60%EV -12.02%E -3.39%K -4.71%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.44%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.75%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.80%EV -0.871%E -0.218%K -0.290%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-12 11:59
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -1.50%E -0.456%K -0.654%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-12 12:00
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-12 12:00
Everygame2.05I 48.78%NM 45.72%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.29%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.99%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-12 12:01
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.19%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betr (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.50%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -8.97%E -2.94%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-12 12:00
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Bet Right2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.27%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.93%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.80%EV -3.35%E -0.859%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-12 12:00
PlayUp2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV -6.99%E -3.41%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -7.47%E -2.41%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 45.59%EV -7.90%E -3.89%K -7.67%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.05%EV -8.07%E -2.62%K -3.88%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.36%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-12 11:55
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.88%EV -8.35%E -4.13%K -8.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.14%EV -3.00%E -0.922%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.98%EV -2.11%E -0.534%K -0.715%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-12 11:59
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:01
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -4.49%E -1.40%K -2.04%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-12 12:00
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.37%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.76%EV -11.95%E -4.05%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -5.83%E -1.53%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-12 12:01
Unibet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.31%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -8.31%E -2.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.00%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.00%EV -10.78%E -3.00%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-12 12:00
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.68%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.79%EV -10.46%E -3.49%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.53%EV -13.26%E -3.79%K -5.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.44%EV -9.26%E -4.63%K -9.26%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.44%EV -19.41%E -7.19%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.12%EV -19.46%E -5.99%K -8.65%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-12 07:45
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.95%EV -11.07%E -5.65%K -11.54%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.91%EV -14.93%E -5.24%K -8.07%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.14%EV -9.54%E -2.62%K -3.60%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-12 12:01
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 45.61%EV -11.53%E -5.91%K -12.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.67%EV -13.44%E -4.64%K -7.07%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.72%EV -7.07%E -1.88%K -2.57%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-12 12:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi2.17I 46.08%NM 46.05%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.97%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.98%0.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.97%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.20%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Matchbook2.14I 46.73%NM 46.40%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.78%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.82%0.7%2026-04-12 12:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.16I 46.30%NM 45.77%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.51%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.72%1.1%2026-04-12 12:01
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.87%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.53%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.61%1.6%2026-04-12 12:00
Smarkets2.14I 46.73%NM 45.66%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.61%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.74%2.3%2026-04-12 12:01