La escuela de los momios

NAC Breda v FC Volendam

Inicio: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

NAC Breda (Local)

Predicción 58.15%1.72momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.73%
Kelly -4.31%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.67

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.87%58.17%58.04%59.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.601.611.6769.44%62.40%62.11%59.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Volendam (Visitante)

Predicción 18.62%5.37momio equitativo
EV +4.25%
Ventaja +0.759%
Kelly +0.924%
Crecimiento +0.039%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.78%18.58%18.80%20.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.305.055.055.6023.26%19.81%19.80%17.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 23.23%4.30momio equitativo
EV -2.42%
Ventaja -0.575%
Kelly -0.755%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.29%23.24%23.16%25.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.973.994.2029.41%25.22%25.06%23.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV +4.25%E +0.759%K +0.924%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.93%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%EV +2.39%E +0.434%K +0.531%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +2.39%E +0.434%K +0.531%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +0.528%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +0.528%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.51%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.94%EV +0.156%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 18:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.16%EV -0.589%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.77%EV -5.20%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 07:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -7.53%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 12:15
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 18:35
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 12:19
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 12:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 18:50
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 18:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.23%EV -16.27%E -11.30%K -36.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.47%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.30%EV -19.84%E -5.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.91%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -8.69%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:39
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.03%E -3.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.23%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.00%E -6.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 02:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.45%E -6.79%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -19.95%E -4.64%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 12:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-02-21 18:50
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-02-21 18:55