مدرسة الاحتمالات

NAC Breda v FC Volendam

البداية: 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

NAC Breda (المضيف)

التنبؤ 58.15%1.72السعر العادل
EV -2.89%
الأفضلية -1.73%
Kelly -4.31%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.67

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.87%58.17%58.04%59.55%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.441.601.611.6769.44%62.40%62.11%59.88%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

FC Volendam (الضيف)

التنبؤ 18.62%5.37السعر العادل
EV +4.25%
الأفضلية +0.759%
Kelly +0.924%
النمو +0.039%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
16.78%18.58%18.80%20.43%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.305.055.055.6023.26%19.81%19.80%17.86%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.23%4.30السعر العادل
EV -2.42%
الأفضلية -0.575%
Kelly -0.755%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.29%23.24%23.16%25.14%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.973.994.2029.41%25.22%25.06%23.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.11%EV -7.54%E -4.74%K -12.78%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.78%EV +4.25%E +0.759%K +0.924%G +0.039%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 18:49
Unibet (NL)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.93%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.78%EV +2.39%E +0.434%K +0.531%G +0.013%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.29%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%2.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 59.48%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.30%EV +2.39%E +0.434%K +0.531%G +0.013%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.21%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:39
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +0.528%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:20
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 58.40%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.95%EV +0.528%E +0.098%K +0.120%G +0.001%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:20
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.51%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.94%EV +0.156%E +0.029%K +0.036%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.55%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.6%2026-02-21 18:50
1xBet1.67I 59.88%NM 58.07%EV -2.89%E -1.73%K -4.31%G +0.000%5.34I 18.73%NM 18.16%EV -0.589%E -0.110%K -0.136%G +0.000%4.08I 24.51%NM 23.77%EV -5.20%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%3.1%2026-02-21 18:50
Unibet (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -5.22%E -3.20%K -8.28%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.93%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.76%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Tipico (DE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.55%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -1.33%E -0.252%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:30
LowVig.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.66I 60.24%NM 58.10%EV -3.47%E -2.09%K -5.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.37%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 18:50
Coolbet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.02%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.21%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 07:55
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.36%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.01%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.63%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 18:20
Grosvenor1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
LeoVegas1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Casumo1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
betPARX1.61I 62.11%NM 58.51%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.94%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 18:20
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 07:54
PointsBet (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.31%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.77%EV -2.26%E -0.431%K -0.533%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.92%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:35
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
BetUS1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 58.08%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.10%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.82%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-21 18:50
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:20
BetRivers1.60I 62.50%NM 58.39%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -3.20%E -0.615%K -0.761%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 18:20
Marathon Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.28%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.29%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.98I 25.13%NM 23.43%EV -7.53%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 18:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.62%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.93%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.45%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 18:20
LiveScore Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Virgin Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 58.44%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.88%EV -5.06%E -0.992%K -1.23%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.68%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.49%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.95%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.56%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 12:15
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.39%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.67%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-21 18:35
Codere (IT)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 12:19
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.17%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.98%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 12:20
Everygame1.62I 61.73%NM 57.49%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.88%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.97%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.48%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 18:30
PlayUp1.60I 62.50%NM 57.62%EV -6.96%E -4.35%K -11.60%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.94%EV -10.55%E -2.74%K -3.70%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-21 18:50
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.71%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.16%EV -12.87%E -3.43%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.4%2026-02-21 18:50
Sky Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 57.45%EV -9.87%E -6.37%K -17.94%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.81%EV -6.92%E -1.38%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.74%EV -16.36%E -4.54%K -6.29%G +0.000%12.3%2026-02-21 18:50
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.66%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.42%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.92%EV -3.58%E -0.862%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 18:55
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.04%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.60%EV -8.78%E -1.79%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%9.7%2026-02-21 18:35
Coral1.65I 60.61%NM 57.58%EV -4.05%E -2.46%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.62%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 17:00
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.03%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.38%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 18:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 58.18%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -2.42%E -0.575%K -0.755%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:30
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 57.05%EV -5.80%E -3.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.25%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:49
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.85%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.07%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-21 18:50
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 58.23%EV -16.27%E -11.30%K -36.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 17.47%EV -10.64%E -2.22%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.30%EV -19.84%E -5.75%K -8.10%G +0.000%19.3%2026-02-21 18:50
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.42%EV -6.38%E -3.96%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.11%EV -7.06%E -1.77%K -2.35%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-21 18:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 57.35%EV -8.71%E -5.55%K -15.27%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.96%EV -11.57%E -2.44%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.69%EV -11.71%E -3.08%K -4.18%G +0.000%11.1%2026-02-21 18:30
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 57.91%EV -9.29%E -5.95%K -16.58%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.22%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.87%EV -8.22%E -2.08%K -2.79%G +0.000%10.7%2026-02-21 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 58.31%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 22.70%EV -8.69%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%12.1%2026-02-21 18:39
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.99%EV -12.78%E -8.52%K -25.55%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.51%EV -12.50%E -2.66%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -14.03%E -3.79%K -5.20%G +0.000%15.0%2026-02-21 18:35
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.84%EV -8.12%E -5.14%K -14.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.87%EV -14.37%E -3.12%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.29%EV -4.74%E -1.16%K -1.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-21 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 55.87%EV -11.03%E -7.21%K -20.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 18.99%EV -16.23%E -3.61%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.14%EV -21.00%E -6.18%K -8.75%G +0.000%17.0%2026-02-21 02:19
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.04%EV -10.45%E -6.79%K -19.35%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.43%EV -19.95%E -4.64%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.53%EV -9.39%E -2.41%K -3.24%G +0.000%13.8%2026-02-21 12:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.67I 59.88%NM 59.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Matchbook1.67I 59.88%NM 59.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.74%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.10%1.2%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-02-21 18:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.30%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.69%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.01%1.6%2026-02-21 18:50
Smarkets1.67I 59.88%NM 58.81%5.70I 17.54%NM 17.23%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.96%1.8%2026-02-21 18:55