L’École des cotes

Heracles Almelo v FC Utrecht

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Heracles Almelo (Local)

Prévision 29.23%3.42cote équitable
EV -0.631%
Avantage -0.186%
Kelly -0.263%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.09%29.24%29.26%30.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.183.203.4034.48%31.44%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

FC Utrecht (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.47%2.30cote équitable
EV -2.20%
Avantage -0.979%
Kelly -1.76%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.35%43.40%43.46%44.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.74%46.51%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.31%3.66cote équitable
EV -0.596%
Avantage -0.164%
Kelly -0.226%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.40%27.36%27.28%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.393.403.6434.72%29.50%29.41%27.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.75%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.68%EV -0.596%E -0.164%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 17:01
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 18:41
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -2.68%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.74%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 18:46
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.12%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:35
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:54
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:40
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:41
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:00
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 18:41
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:10
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:11
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:55
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:45
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:45
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 18:44
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 17:15
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.77%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:41
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:40
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:40
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:01
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:01
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:00
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 18:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 17:15
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:46
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.28%EV -12.20%E -6.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.86%EV -9.06%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 18:33
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.35%E -7.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-06 18:45
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.78%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 18:10
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -17.42%E -9.17%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-06 18:46
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-03-06 18:50