La escuela de los momios

Heracles Almelo v FC Utrecht

Inicio: 2026-03-06 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Heracles Almelo (Local)

Predicción 29.23%3.42momio equitativo
EV -0.631%
Ventaja -0.186%
Kelly -0.263%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.09%29.24%29.26%30.58%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.183.203.4034.48%31.44%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

FC Utrecht (Visitante)

Predicción 43.47%2.30momio equitativo
EV -2.20%
Ventaja -0.979%
Kelly -1.76%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.35%43.40%43.46%44.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.142.152.2552.63%46.74%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.31%3.66momio equitativo
EV -0.596%
Ventaja -0.164%
Kelly -0.226%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.64

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.40%27.36%27.28%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.393.403.6434.72%29.50%29.41%27.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
1xBet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.56%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 44.75%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.68%EV -0.596%E -0.164%K -0.226%G +0.000%3.0%2026-03-06 18:55
LowVig.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 17:00
BetOnline.ag3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -0.631%E -0.186%K -0.263%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.81%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.09%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 17:01
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 18:41
Svenska Spel3.35I 29.85%NM 29.02%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.60%EV -3.07%E -1.38%K -2.50%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.39%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.9%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.85%EV -2.09%E -0.624%K -0.890%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.22%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-06 18:40
Pinnacle3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -2.68%E -0.804%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.74%EV -3.94%E -1.78%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.23%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-06 18:46
Unibet (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.73%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.51%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 18:40
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.85%EV -6.12%E -2.83%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.45%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -3.55%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Bet Victor3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.37%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.26%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:35
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 29.36%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.77%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.88%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:54
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:40
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:40
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:41
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 28.95%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.28%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 17:00
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.01%E -1.54%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.71%EV -6.98%E -3.26%K -6.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 18:41
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.57%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -3.05%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:10
Codere (IT)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -5.25%E -2.41%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 18:11
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 16:15
BetUS3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:55
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.34%EV -5.68%E -2.62%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:40
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:45
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.74%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 15:45
Bovada3.20I 31.25%NM 29.27%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.57%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 18:54
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 18:44
Everygame3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 17:15
Marathon Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.13%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 43.77%EV -7.42%E -3.48%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.10%EV -6.06%E -1.76%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 18:15
Grosvenor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:41
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.98%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.74%EV -7.85%E -3.70%K -7.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.28%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 18:40
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Betway3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 18:55
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -6.48%E -2.02%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.46%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-06 18:40
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.42%EV -2.20%E -0.979%K -1.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.27%EV -4.42%E -1.26%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 18:55
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.83%EV -7.94%E -2.52%K -3.69%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.66%EV -9.59%E -4.61%K -8.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-06 18:40
Betr (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:55
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:50
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 18:55
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:00
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:01
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:01
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -6.55%E -3.05%K -5.70%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-06 16:00
Fliff3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -8.52%E -2.54%K -3.62%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 18:15
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -7.15%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-06 17:15
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.25%E -3.46%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-06 18:46
Betclic (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.86%EV -9.40%E -3.03%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.28%EV -12.20%E -6.04%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 26.86%EV -9.06%E -2.72%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.8%2026-03-06 18:33
Bet Right3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.39%EV -4.38%E -1.99%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 18:55
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.97%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.50%EV -5.79%E -1.68%K -2.36%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-06 18:10
Parions Sport (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.31%EV -10.86%E -3.56%K -5.30%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.60%EV -10.90%E -5.32%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.09%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-06 18:35
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 29.71%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.44%EV -8.72%E -4.15%K -7.93%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.85%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%12.2%2026-03-06 18:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.32%E -4.11%K -6.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -21.35%E -7.41%K -11.36%G +0.000%18.1%2026-03-06 18:45
NetBet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.44%EV -13.78%E -4.67%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.42%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.14%EV -12.61%E -3.94%K -5.73%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-06 18:45
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.04%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.56%EV -13.07%E -6.53%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.40%EV -9.88%E -2.99%K -4.30%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-06 18:10
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 28.63%EV -15.24%E -5.26%K -8.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.70%EV -17.42%E -9.17%K -19.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 27.67%EV -18.07%E -6.02%K -9.04%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-06 18:46
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Matchbook3.45I 28.99%NM 28.81%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.59%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-03-06 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.70%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.80%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.50%1.0%2026-03-06 18:55
Smarkets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.88%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.45%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.66%1.8%2026-03-06 18:50