La scuola delle quote

Heerenveen v Heracles Almelo

Inizio: 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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55 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Heerenveen (Casa)

Previsione 64.80%1.54quota equa
EV -2.80%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -5.60%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.85%64.93%64.70%68.07%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.341.421.431.5074.63%70.26%69.93%66.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Heracles Almelo (Trasferta)

Previsione 16.11%6.21quota equa
EV +12.78%
Vantaggio +1.83%
Kelly +2.13%
Crescita +0.272%

ipotizzando la quota massima 7.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
13.91%16.01%16.26%18.10%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
5.006.016.157.0020.00%16.65%16.26%14.29%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 19.09%5.24quota equa
EV +3.07%
Vantaggio +0.569%
Kelly +0.698%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.93%19.06%19.04%21.42%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.935.005.4025.00%20.30%20.00%18.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (55 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.07%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +12.78%E +1.83%K +2.13%G +0.272%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%2.7%2026-04-05 12:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%3.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%3.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.68%EV -8.63%E -6.12%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:23
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:14
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.63%E -6.12%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:14
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.44%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.44%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:15
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:24
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:24
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:14
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:14
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.699%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 12:14
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +0.699%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:05
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.41%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.61%EV -0.107%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.41%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.61%EV -0.107%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.10%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.67%EV -0.912%E -0.148%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.23%EV -4.37%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 12:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:24
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 12:00
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 12:05
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:14
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -7.43%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:20
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:04
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:19
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.77%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.17%EV -8.81%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.06%EV +2.69%E +0.500%K +0.614%G +0.017%2.9%2026-04-05 12:25
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.00%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 12:24
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:25
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:24
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 12:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:01
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.65%E -5.91%K -7.88%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 12:01
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.68%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -14.61%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 12:19
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.08%EV -9.93%E -7.14%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.68%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -16.22%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -11.24%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 12:24
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-04-05 12:25