L’École des cotes

Heerenveen v Heracles Almelo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-05 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Heerenveen (Local)

Prévision 64.80%1.54cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -5.60%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.85%64.93%64.70%68.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.421.431.5074.63%70.26%69.93%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Heracles Almelo (Visiteur)

Prévision 16.11%6.21cote équitable
EV +12.78%
Avantage +1.83%
Kelly +2.13%
Croissance +0.272%

avec la cote maximale 7.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.91%16.01%16.26%18.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.016.157.0020.00%16.65%16.26%14.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.09%5.24cote équitable
EV +3.07%
Avantage +0.569%
Kelly +0.698%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 5.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.93%19.06%19.04%21.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.935.005.4025.00%20.30%20.00%18.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 68.07%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +12.78%E +1.83%K +2.13%G +0.272%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.03%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%2.7%2026-04-05 12:15
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%3.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.35%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.07%E +0.569%K +0.698%G +0.021%3.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Coolbet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.76%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-05 12:10
Unibet (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.68%EV -8.63%E -6.12%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.14%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.18%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:14
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.84%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.07%EV +8.75%E +1.30%K +1.52%G +0.133%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.09%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.25%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.68%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:23
Tipico (DE)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.87%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.40%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 11:55
BetRivers1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:14
Casumo1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:15
betPARX1.38I 72.46%NM 67.67%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.37%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.96%EV -0.746%E -0.143%K -0.178%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-05 12:15
Bet Right1.41I 70.92%NM 66.06%EV -8.63%E -6.12%K -21.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.33%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:14
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 67.44%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:15
Grosvenor1.38I 72.46%NM 67.44%EV -10.57%E -7.66%K -27.83%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.25%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:15
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.22%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:00
FanDuel1.36I 73.53%NM 67.26%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +4.73%E +0.727%K +0.859%G +0.041%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.67%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-05 12:19
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:24
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.28%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-05 12:24
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.61%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.37%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.03%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-05 12:14
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Virgin Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:14
LiveScore Bet1.34I 74.63%NM 67.69%EV -13.17%E -9.83%K -38.73%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.17%EV +3.12%E +0.487%K +0.577%G +0.018%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.14%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-05 12:14
Betr (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.66%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.92%EV +0.699%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.42%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 12:14
PointsBet (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.52%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.89%EV +0.699%E +0.112%K +0.133%G +0.001%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-05 12:05
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.41%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.61%EV -0.107%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:05
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.41%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.61%EV -0.107%E -0.017%K -0.021%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.98%EV -2.65%E -0.521%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-05 12:01
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.10%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%6.15I 16.26%NM 15.67%EV -0.912%E -0.148%K -0.177%G +0.000%5.01I 19.96%NM 19.23%EV -4.37%E -0.873%K -1.09%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-05 12:15
PlayUp1.45I 68.97%NM 63.94%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.45%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.60%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-05 12:24
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -3.33%E -0.555%K -0.666%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-05 12:00
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.43%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-05 12:05
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 65.00%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.28%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 12:14
BetAnything1.45I 68.97%NM 64.47%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.26%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.27%EV -7.43%E -1.53%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-05 12:20
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.75%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.22%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.03%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-05 12:05
Everygame1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 12:04
Sky Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 64.33%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.66%EV -7.36%E -1.28%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.01%EV -14.11%E -3.13%K -4.03%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-05 12:19
1xBet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.77%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.66I 17.67%NM 17.17%EV -8.81%E -1.56%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.38I 18.59%NM 18.06%EV +2.69%E +0.500%K +0.614%G +0.017%2.9%2026-04-05 12:25
Codere (IT)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.00%EV -4.74%E -3.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.80%EV -9.77%E -1.75%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.20%EV -6.47%E -1.32%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-05 12:24
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:25
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 63.58%EV -2.80%E -1.87%K -5.60%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.34%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.08%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-05 12:24
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.89%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.19%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -4.56%E -0.913%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 63.74%EV -6.04%E -4.16%K -13.42%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.80%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.46%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 12:04
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:01
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:00
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.03%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.76%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.21%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-05 12:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.00%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.58%EV -11.38%E -2.07%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.42%EV -23.65%E -5.91%K -7.88%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 12:01
NetBet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 64.68%EV -11.87%E -8.73%K -32.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.60%EV -14.61%E -2.76%K -3.40%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.72%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%13.7%2026-04-05 12:19
BetUS1.48I 67.57%NM 63.95%EV -4.09%E -2.77%K -8.53%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.03%EV +0.208%E +0.040%K +0.049%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-05 12:20
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 64.08%EV -9.93%E -7.14%K -25.45%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 16.97%EV -15.41%E -2.94%K -3.63%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.95%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 12:25
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.68%EV -9.28%E -6.63%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.15%EV -16.22%E -3.12%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.17%EV -11.24%E -2.42%K -3.08%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-05 12:24
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 62.85%EV -6.69%E -4.64%K -15.20%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -9.34%E -1.97%K -2.49%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-05 12:04
Winamax (DE)1.43I 69.93%NM 63.13%EV -7.33%E -5.13%K -17.06%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.81%EV -8.38%E -1.75%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 63.05%EV -7.98%E -5.62%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -19.44%E -3.89%K -4.86%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.05%EV -10.29%E -2.19%K -2.78%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-05 12:25
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:20
Matchbook1.48I 67.57%NM 67.35%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.84%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.81%0.3%2026-04-05 12:15
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 67.35%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.84%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.81%1.0%2026-04-05 12:25
Smarkets1.47I 68.03%NM 66.99%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.07%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.94%1.5%2026-04-05 12:25